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To: tmp02
Currently, the dollar is at a 9 year low. Russia, China, etc. seem to be selling USD for Euros. Oil has dropped a little but will probably continue to go up as the winter continues
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HELP me understand this I don't see a downside for the U.S. The dollar goes down our products are cheaper and exports are up. GOOD thing.

Oil is bought and sold on the dollar only and so oil is also cheaper and oil is falling a little. Another GOOD thing.

Both of the above put money back in U.S. hands.

China and Russia are pushing the Euro up, so are they trying to bust the Euro?
668 posted on 11/23/2004 3:22:27 PM PST by DAVEY CROCKETT (Character exalts Liberty and Freedom, Righteous exalts a Nation.)
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To: DAVEY CROCKETT
HELP me understand this I don't see a downside for the U.S. The dollar goes down our products are cheaper and exports are up. GOOD thing.

Whether this is good or bad in an economic sense is very complicated, and that is not the reason this is causing concern anyway. The reason this is causing concern is WHY the dollar is going down: Apparently, sovereign nations are speculating against the dollar. BTW: This is considered very bad form in diplomatic circles.

Some background may help: The value of a currency will fall during a speculative attack, but if the fall does not become self sustaining, the speculators will lose a lot of money. Speculators are gambling that future events will cause the currency to decline in value on at least a temporarily sustained basis (at least long enough for them to reverse their speculative positions at a profit).

So, the relevant question is WHY sovereign nations would think the value of the dollar is going to go down. The implied message is that they know something that the rest of us do not. And they see enough profit potential to justify committing a diplomatic faux pas.

671 posted on 11/23/2004 4:03:23 PM PST by EternalHope (Boycott everything French forever. Including their vassal nations.)
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To: DAVEY CROCKETT
DC, read this article. I believe it is an accurate description of the down side of the dollar.

ANALYSIS: Dollar Fall Will Come at a Price for All


http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1285495/posts
672 posted on 11/23/2004 4:13:16 PM PST by tmp02 (Don't come to the US. We too are dipping our bullets in pig's blood)
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To: DAVEY CROCKETT

If dollar drops, then foreign investors are unlikely to maintain their investments in the United States, which are held in dollars.

If these foreign investors decide to stop investing, or to unload the investments that they hold, the impact on the financial markets will be severe. The United States requires $2.7 billion of imported money daily in order to meet its financial needs. If it becomes more difficult to attract this money, then interest rates will have to rise in order to increase the demand.


761 posted on 11/24/2004 8:10:15 AM PST by lawyamike
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