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I just read Dr. Nemets' article at Newsmax. This is compelling, but he's making alot of assumptions. Poland, I think will remain close to the UK and US, as it did on the eve of WW2. I still maintain that a collapse of the leftwing parties in France and Germany could change everything in his model, those are crucial elections for alot of interests. We have a vested interest in Poland, and the Baltics who fear Russian intervention. It will be interesting to see if the EU is able to break up NATO, with the current and future leaders of its members.

Regarding Asia, Nemets left out Australia, our ally in SE Asia, along with Phillipines, possibly Thailand and Cambodia, could check Chinese expansion. Taiwan will be a standoff, and an unknown. Japan will remain a loyal ally.

Speaking of unknowns, as I write, the North Korean dictator could be under house arrest, and of course, when he finally goes, China and Russia will be maneuvering to be the king-makers. I think N Korea will fall soon, we must be ready to challenge Chinese influence. Recently, Russia and China settled their border dispute in the east.

Central Asia is an arena where the US has an advantage. Turkey, and their cousins in Azerbaijhan will remain our allies, and this will persuade their fellow Turks in the former Soviet "istans" to follow. The Russians hold the ethnic majority in Kazakistan, and I understand they wish to stay, due to a tolerant govt, and the oil wealth of the country. Iran may collapse soon, without a war. Pakistan will hopefully remain our ally, and our courting of India may pull them away from Russia.

It's an interesting possibility, but predictions like these are too alarmist. Too many countries, divisions, trade interests, etc. involved. A more realistic model would not produce a world war, but several positives and negative outcomes for the US. This is to "black and white" for me.