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1 posted on 11/11/2004 5:09:42 PM PST by Seaside
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To: Seaside

Lets just hope that Drunkard Kennedy retires!


2 posted on 11/11/2004 5:12:16 PM PST by Mich0127 (The Democratic Maxim: All animals are equal, but some animals are more equal than others)
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To: Seaside

Can anyone post which ones are safe and competitive so we can see what chances we have of gaining or losing?

And I heard Frist wants to retire in 2006. I am not sure though.


3 posted on 11/11/2004 5:13:34 PM PST by Greg the Republican
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To: Seaside

Could Romney take Taxachussets if Kennedy retires?


4 posted on 11/11/2004 5:17:02 PM PST by streetpreacher
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To: Seaside

Your list is incomplete


5 posted on 11/11/2004 5:18:06 PM PST by error99
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To: Seaside

California (Feinstein-D) - Feinstein is in her 70s and may retire, or she might run for governor. Possible opponents include Condoleezza Rice (R), Rep. Doug Ose, state Sen. Tom McClintock, Rep. Darrell Issa and Rep. George Radanovich.

We definitely have a shot if we field the right candidate. I think we need to find someone who Arnold would support. Condi? Issa is also possible.
----
Connecticut (Lieberman-D) - Lieberman will be 64 in election year. After losing his bid for the presidential nomination in 2004, he may call it quits. However, if he runs, he's safe.

I AGREE...Lieberman is safe, don't see any chance here.
-----
Indiana (Lugar-R) - Lugar is safe if he runs again, although he'll be 76 in election year and he may retire.

He may retire, and we'll hold the seat either way.



Massachusetts (Kennedy-D) - Kennedy will be 75 come election year, and he may retire.

If he retires, we have a SHOT here if romney would run. But doubtful


Utah (Hatch-R) - He'll be 72 election year, and he may retire. If he does run, he'll coast to re-election.

Not worried either way
----
Vermont (Jeffords-I) - Jim Jeffords will be 72 in election year. If he decides to run, the man without a party may have a tough time raising cash, although Democrats..

would be interesting if jeffords left. Douglas, maybe?

----
West Virginia (Byrd-D) - Byrd will be 88 years old in 2006 and may retire.

We can take this seat if Byrd leaves.


Maine (Snowe-R) - Snowe, a moderate, might see a challenge from a more conservative Republican in the primary.

Snowe will run and win.
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Mississippi (Lott-R) - Something tells me that Lott won't be running for re-election. If he does, he'll likely face a stiff Democratic challenge, possibly from former Attorney General Mike Moore.

Seat is safe either way.
------
New York (Clinton-D) - Clinton will no doubt run for re-election in 2006, which will likely put her against the state's Republican heavy-hitters, including former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani and Gov. George Pataki.

I'd like of like to see us not go after Hillary...but if Pataki runs against her she's in trouble.
----
Pennsylvania (Santorum-R) - I'd say Sen. Rick "Man on Dog" Santorum is probably going to be in trouble in this Democrat-leaning state.

Santorum will win.


Arizona (Kyl-R) - Jon Kyl will be 64 in election year and will likely run again. Arizona Democrats may go after Kyl after giving the other Ariz. senator, John McCain, a pass in 2004. Still, Kyl is pretty safe.

Safe


Delaware (Carper-D) - Carper will likely seek a second term.

Safe


Florida (Bill Nelson-D) - Former astronaut Nelson is safe if he runs (he'll turn 64 years ago in 2006), although Florida has been a toss-up state in recent years. Rep. Katherine Harris likely declined to run in 2004 to make a run for this seat or else governor.

Not as safe as you think....


Hawaii (Akaka-D) - Akaka is getting up there in age, but will probably run again.

If he retires, Lingle or her LG have a shot...but I think Lingle will run for reelection
------
Maryland (Sarbanes-D)

Chance if he retires...none if he doesn't
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Michigan (Stabenow-D)

Not sure if we can beat her or not...
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Minnesota (Dayton-D) - Sen. Dayton will likely run again.

Mark Kennedy will run and beat Dayton...pickup
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Missouri (Talent-R) - Freshman Sen. Jim Talent will likely run again.
safe
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Montana (Burns-R) - Burns will probably run again.
tough but safe
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Nebraska (Ben Nelson-D)
Nelson is toast. pickup


Nevada (Ensign-R)
safe


New Jersey (Corzine-D)
hard to know...this will chnage between now and 06
----
New Mexico (Bingaman-D) - Bingham is pretty safe if he runs again.
heather wilson will give him a run.


North Dakota (Conrad-D)
would like to think we have a shot here, but doubt it
-----
Ohio (DeWine-R)
safe
Rhode Island (Chafee-R)
safe
Tennessee (Frist-R) - Frist will no doubt coast to re-election.
He's not running!
Texas (Hutchinson-R) - Hutchinson may run for governor in 2006. If not, she's a safe bet for re-election.

Virginia (Allen-R) - He will likely run and be re-elected.

Washington (Cantwell-D) Doubtful but with Dunn we could win.

Wisconsin (Kohl-D) - Kohl's pretty safe if he runs again, although former Gov. and Secy. of Health & Human Services Tommy Thompson may make it interesting.

Thompson will run and win.
Wyoming (Thomas-R)
safe


6 posted on 11/11/2004 5:18:08 PM PST by RightMike
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To: Seaside
Maine (Snowe-R) - Snowe, a moderate, might see a challenge from a more conservative Republican in the primary.

From your lips to God's ears! We would give a real pro-life, Pro-Christ conservative running, against the queen of infanticide, all the help a fledgling on line paper can give and then some.

7 posted on 11/11/2004 5:19:17 PM PST by newsgatherer
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To: Seaside
Maine (Snowe-R) - Snowe, a moderate, might see a challenge from a more conservative Republican in the primary.

From your lips to God's ears! We would give a real pro-life, Pro-Christ conservative running, against the queen of infanticide, all the help a fledgling on line paper can give and then some.

8 posted on 11/11/2004 5:19:18 PM PST by newsgatherer
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To: Seaside

Lott has already decided to run again in '06.

http://www.thehill.com/campaign/111004_lott.aspx


14 posted on 11/11/2004 5:29:50 PM PST by mull
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To: Seaside
Paul Sarbanes will also be 76 and is almost certainly going to retire. Rep. Albert Wynn and Baltimore Mayor Martin O'Malley are set for a bloody Democratic primary, while Republicans have a fabulous candidate in Lt. Gov. Michael Steele. This is a possible GOP pickup.

Rep. Mike Rogers is already planning a run against Debbie Stabenow. He won her old House seat when she was elected to the Senate. Rogers is a star, while Stabenow is an embarrassment. Rogers should win this race.

I think we will see a large number of retirements by the Senators in their 70s and 80s, especially the Democrats who know they have little chance of being in the majority again.

15 posted on 11/11/2004 5:31:15 PM PST by Dems_R_Losers (Proud Reagan Alumna!)
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To: Seaside
Dayton (D-MN) should be a sitting duck. However, he does have a lot of resources (He paid around 17$ of his own money PER VOTE he received 4 years ago) but I think that he is going to be in for it, especially since he was nothing more than Wellstone's lapdog. He has been especially worthless and embarrassing since Wellstone isn't around to hold his hand anymore. He looks like a deer in the headlights most of the time.

I think we could put the Mummy from the Science Museum of Minnesota up against him, and he will be defeated.

APf
16 posted on 11/11/2004 5:32:07 PM PST by APFel (Humanity has a poor track record of predicting its own future.)
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To: Seaside
Small correction - Rep. Doug Ose is retiring. Unfortunately we have elected RINO Dan Lungren. I would like to apologize for anything this man will do in the future. We wanted Rico Oller.
18 posted on 11/11/2004 5:37:19 PM PST by Anti-Christ is Hillary (John Kerry - Flip Flop shock and awe)
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To: Seaside

Sadly enough, Teddy K is not going anywhere. Mitt Romney was the GOP's best shot against him back in '94 and Kennedy won that race going away.

I'd keep a close eye on Ben Nelson in Nebraska. I would not be at all surprised to see him switch parties considering that Governor Johanns is warming to the idea of a Senate run. If Johanns decides to run, that will be the big race to watch. Since Nelson usually votes with the GOP anyway, he may crossover rather than risk losing his seat to the popular Republican governor.


21 posted on 11/11/2004 5:44:14 PM PST by mull
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To: Seaside
California (Feinstein-D) - Feinstein is in her 70s and may retire, or she might run for governor. Possible opponents include Condoleezza Rice (R), Rep. Doug Ose, state Sen. Tom McClintock, Rep. Darrell Issa and Rep. George Radanovich.

She'll be 73 then. If she runs, she'll win easiliy. Boxer was the weak candidate. Rice would have a better shot as a woman and a 'moderate' on abortion-rights. Sadly, the fools would selected McClintock in the primary and he'd lose in a landslide on par with this year's Obama vs. Keyes. A CONSERVATIVE cannot win statewide at this time. Bank on it.

We need a fiscal conservative who is more libertarian on social issues. And, if at all possible, it should *not* be a rich white guy (take note, Issa!).

22 posted on 11/11/2004 5:44:52 PM PST by newzjunkey (San Diego, Kleptocrasy by the Sea. -- VOID the Illegal Mayoral "Election")
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To: Seaside

In Maryland (90% Dem)the best idea might be for Pubbies to change parties & nominate a conservative Dem against Sarbanes. Even with several good solid Pubbie counties we just can't pry Mikulski & Sarbanes out of office. We have tried.

Thay are belong to uss'ns


23 posted on 11/11/2004 5:49:16 PM PST by highflight
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To: Seaside

This should be job # 1 for all of us.
Bump off any 5 of these 7 Democrat senate seats
in 2006 and you have the magic 60 seat advantage.
-
FLORIDA - Bill Nelson is vulnerable
NEBRASKA - Ben Nelson is vulnerable
NEW MEXICO - Jeff Bingaman
NORTH DAKOTA - Kent Conrad is vulnerable
MINNESOTA - Mark Dayton
WEST VIRGINIA - Robert Byrd
WISCONSIN - Herb Kohl
-


24 posted on 11/11/2004 6:08:48 PM PST by error99
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