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WHICH POLLSTER WAS THE MOST ACCURATE? (ranks both national and state pollsters)
RealClearPolitics ^
| 11/8/04
| T. Bevan & J. McIntyre
Posted on 11/08/2004 12:00:54 PM PST by Cableguy
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To: Cableguy
Zogby and his brother are just low life Arab terrorist scum that support the "traitor" Democrat Party!!! End of story!!!
To: Cableguy
Newsweek's was probably the closest, at 6%, had it not been for the Dem vote drives, and ballot stuffing. I thought Bush would EASILY win by 8%. He was running against a joke of a candidate, a man who might fear he'll be asked even to resign his Senate seat in the coming months. But the Dem did get out the vote. What they did is spoil the margin of victory. They had no way to know that in sheer numbers, the Bush turnout would be what it was.
The ultimate numbers might be interesting, broken down by party affiliation. All I've seen are the totals for each candidate, even by county. But I haven't seen those county votes broken down by GOP/Dem. And I wonder how many actually registered . . as Dem voted for Bush?
42
posted on
11/08/2004 3:15:36 PM PST
by
sevry
To: soccer_linux_mozilla
The pollster in charge of Dynamics is a bigtime Demorat.
43
posted on
11/08/2004 4:18:06 PM PST
by
GoMonster
(GO)
To: Cableguy
Nationally, Gallup's final poll wasn't so bad, but he allocated almost ALL the undecided to Kerry.
If he had instead honored historical averages (per Pat Caddell) that 60% of the last-minute undecided breaks for the INCUMBENT in presidential elections, then Gallup's final numbers would have been VERY close
To: kesg
"Mason Dixon being top dog is no suprise, but the performance of the phonebots -- Rasmussen and SurveyUSA -- certainly was."
I'm not surprised by SurveyUSA's results. They were the 2nd-best (behind M-D) in 2002 and in 2000.
45
posted on
11/11/2004 4:03:22 PM PST
by
okstate
(I'm John Kerry, and I approved this message... before I decided against it.)
To: okstate
I'm not surprised by SurveyUSA's results. They were the 2nd-best (behind M-D) in 2002 and in 2000.Maybe, but in 2004 they seemed to get some key battleground states wrong in most of their polling, most notably Ohio and Florida (where at least until the end they consistently tilted three or four more points to the French Poodle guy than other major polls).
46
posted on
11/11/2004 4:19:12 PM PST
by
kesg
To: All
47
posted on
11/04/2006 4:29:06 PM PST
by
finnman69
(cum puella incedit minore medio corpore sub quo manifestu s globus, inflammare animos)
To: All
Reference Bump ... For the manic poll-addicted Freepers who are driving us more level-headed types bonkers. ;)
48
posted on
09/16/2008 7:06:48 AM PDT
by
AHerald
("Be faithful to God ... do not bother about the ridicule of the foolish." - St. Pio of Pietrelcina)
To: AHerald; All
Good reference on last election results. Here is another image
![](http://www.mysterypollster.com/photos/uncategorized/battleground_1.jpg)
from 2004 in mid October
49
posted on
10/23/2008 11:58:24 AM PDT
by
An American!
(Proud To Be An American!)
To: An American!
50
posted on
10/24/2008 9:33:40 AM PDT
by
AHerald
("Be faithful to God ... do not bother about the ridicule of the foolish." - St. Pio of Pietrelcina)
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