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To: GOPcapitalist
"How so? Save the tiny border state of West Virginia, there is not one single southern primary that Wallace lost."

There were only three southern primary elections, and they were all before the assassination attempt. By the time Wallace was shot, the primary season was almost over, and most of the states had determined the makeup of their convention delegations. More from the May 1972 Time article:

"In any case, Wallace was determined to go on, and his followers across the nation were inspired by adversity. Fresh recruits hurried into his campaign offices to volunteer. With his victories in the Maryland and Michigan primaries, he could go to the Democratic Convention or send his ambassadors there -- armed with some 400 delegate votes. What he might do with that strength is difficult to foretell..."

"Wallace's political future is unpredictable. Last week was certainly the crest of his ill-planned but impressive drive through the primaries. All through the spring, in fact, Wallace has had the air of a man astonished by his own successes; with his ramshackle organization, one basic, evangelical speech and paper buckets to take up the collection, his victories have left him wondering whether he should not have attempted more. There were no primary states left in which he had arranged extensive campaigns even before the shooting -- although last week from his hospital room he ordered his men to go ahead with more rallies and TV ads in Rhode Island, Oregon and New Mexico. In California, local groups have organized a write-in campaign. Where public appearances are called for, Wallace's men are setting up a kind of speaker's bureau of stand-ins. Among the volunteers: former California Superintendent of Public Instruction Max Rafferty, now a dean at Alabama's Troy State University, and Georgia's Lieut. Governor Lester Maddox..."

"It is possible that Wallace's week of pain and victory will recede into comparative political unimportance as the primary campaign swings into crucial two-man contests between Humphrey and McGovern next month in delegate-rich California and New York. McGovern's aides expect their candidate to win California, with its winner-take-all package of 271 delegates, and follow that with a big delegate harvest in New York. Expecting that enough uncommitted and Muskie delegates will join them then, McGovern's supporters hope to muster the required 1,509 delegates on the first ballot at Miami Beach. Says McGovern Adviser Mike Feldman: 'He won't have to deal with Wallace at all.'

"Humphrey's camp plans on roughly the reverse scenario. But a number of Democratic professionals can envision a situation in which McGovern and Humphrey each fetch up 300 or 400 delegates short of the nomination. 'In the absence of a first-ballot nomination for McGovern,' says one Democratic official, 'Wallace and his votes could be a major factor in determining what happens on the second ballot.'

"But it is difficult to imagine what kind of accommodation either McGovern or Humphrey could make with George Wallace. Neither would bend very far to Wallace on civil rights. Some have suggested that one of them might somehow wind up with Wallace as a running mate, but even in a curious political year, the idea seemed farfetched. Yet according to one shrewd Southern observer, the vice presidency may be exactly what Wallace has in mind. Says South Carolinian Harry Dent, a political adviser to President Nixon: 'He'd like to get a platform he can crow over. But he knows that platforms don't amount to much. He wants somebody to bend over him and say `Uncle.' He wants respectability. I think he sees visions of a vice-presidential nomination.'"

"Did you not bother to read your own source again?"

The source for the primary dates and winners is Congressional Quarterly and you can go over to the library and read it for yourself. It also details the results of how the other states distributed their delegates for the 1972 democratic convention. It seems to me that it is your thesis that is entirely unsupported. Your analysis is superficial. You'll never get your PhD that way.

149 posted on 11/15/2004 12:15:35 PM PST by capitan_refugio
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To: capitan_refugio
There were only three southern primary elections, and they were all before the assassination attempt.

Correct me if I've missed something, but exactly when did Maryland cease to be a southern state and exactly when did it migrate in time from a day after the assassination attempt to an unspecified date before it?

By the time Wallace was shot, the primary season was almost over, and most of the states had determined the makeup of their convention delegations.

Your own list puts six primaries remaining after the shooting, eight if you include the two on the next day. You're just arguing for the sake of arguing now after being confronted with the fact that, as of the shooting, Wallace was essentially the frontrunner for the Democratic nomination. He had won more states outright than any other candidate and finished second in five more, often by a few percentage points. In short, he had finished either first or second in 10 of the first 15 primaries. You may not like that fact but it's there and it falls under the realm of historical "what ifs" given an alternate reality in which Wallace was not shot.

154 posted on 11/15/2004 5:19:30 PM PST by GOPcapitalist ("Marxism finds it easy to ally with Islamic zealotism" - Ludwig von Mises)
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