Posted on 11/04/2004 12:13:38 AM PST by Remember_Salamis
As far as Tennessee goes, the Democrats may not nominate Harold Ford Jr, but what about Reps. Jim Cooper or Lincoln Davis? I imagine one of them could give us some trouble.
Ford poses as a moderate Rat but he's basically a liberal. Plus, he's from Memphis. He couldn't win statewide.
Excellent analysis - I agree largely because I believe that they won't change. To me, they're like drug addicts, hooked on the narcotics of socialism/communism, anti-Americanism and elitism. Already we're seeing the Dims thinking that once again, their problem is that they didn't get their message out. So they're still clinging to their tattered fantasy of an America consisting of a huge "silent majority" of far left radicals, cowed into not speaking out by legions of frothing Bible-bangin' ignoramuses who've been whipped into a orgy of hate by Chimpy Bushitler.
It's so much easier for them to believe they were foully done in by an evil idiot savant leading a bunch of toothless hayseeds into voting against their own best interests. This way they don't have to face the fact that their playbook is old and worn out, their message and spokespersons are repulsive to average Americans, their ideas (what they have of those) are stale and already proven to be utter failures. They can claim everyone else is an easily misled idiot, and cling to their illusion of moral and intellectual superiority.
The democrats will continue to marginalize themselves as they become increasingly shrill and paranoid and anti-American, to the point where they will openly be the party of the ultra-rich trust-funders, the trial lawyers, the jihadists, the Hollywood degenerates and the professional victim lobbies. And until a large number of the old party apparatchiks die off, they'll be consigned to significant minority status.
But they'll feel really good about themselves as they spew their bile and hatred.
The last time they nominated Cooper in '94, he went down in flames, though I'm sure he'd like to be a Senator (which his much-more Conservative daddy (Gov. Prentice Cooper) was denied by Gore, Sr. back in 1958), but I still think he's a tad too liberal. Lincoln Davis might be a good choice for them, but he may be too Conservative for the nomination. His reelection campaign made you believe he was a Conservative Republican. The question is whether or not all 3 (Ford, Cooper & Davis) decide to jump into the fray and bloody each other for the nomination. At this point, it is ours to lose.
Why wouldn't Rudy prefer running for governor? He's an aggressive executive type guy, not a passive deliberator. And the governor's chair in Albany is a better launch pad for an eventual presidential campaign than a Senate seat.
It's a sad state of affairs when simply being patriotic can move a Democrat from the "liberal" to the "moderate" column.
Perhaps, it would be best to think of Democrats like Lieberman and Bayh as "patriotic liberals" rather than "moderates".
She and her husband adopted a child and that has a big influence on her wanting to come home.
I remember you! Where you been?
No way.
I cannot stand Ford. He smiles but the eyes can't hide what's in his soul and it's not good.
Who, me ? I've been here. I know your handle, too... So are we friends or foes ? :-P
"Perhaps, it would be best to think of Democrats like Lieberman and Bayh as "patriotic liberals" rather than "moderates".
-- Classic NeoConservatives before their conversion. I'm thinking Irv Kristol, Richard Perle, Paul Wolfowitz, and other "liberal hawks" who dies out in the 1970s.
In fact, I owuldn't be surpised if KBH is nudged out of the Senate and into the Governor's house just to make room for Bonilla. The GOP would be completely insane NOT to put a popular conservative hispanic in the Senate. Bonilla has an excellent conservative voting record too.
I like your analysis overall, but:
"Loss - John Corzine of New Jersey – Backlash Alert! The backlash against McGAYvey will break the democratic political machine in Jersey. Corzine will be the first victim."
Heh. There doesn't appear to be any such thing as "backlash" for New Jersey Democrats. These are the people who voted for Lautenberg -after- being put on the ticket illegally, remember? And they voted for Kerry -after- the debacles of both Lautenberg and McGreevey. No, I'd strike this one off your list as anything like a sure bet. Especially when you take into consideration that other than a couple of good House members (Chris Smith rocks), the Republican party in New Jersey is effectively a dummy corporation set up by the Democrats to make sure they are never seriously opposed. There is no such thing as a Republican in New Jersey who might run for that election with anything resembling name recognition, either, at least that I know of.
Qwinn
Corzine will win. JErsey is a Dem state.
If Bush pushes for amnesty for illegals and Specter is on th Judiciary comm - the Republicans will lose seats in the Senate.
It looks like Bush is already in "screw the base" mode with his plan for amnesty for illegals (criminals).
Besides Corzine, who the majority here think will retain, I would say Republicans picking up WhineSwine's seat here in "Kal-ee-for-nee-yah" is a medical-marijuana hallucination. The Republican party here in the Golden State are about as unified and organized as a room full of cats.
With GWB winning 30 states in 2000 and 31 this time, it's not surprising that the Senate will continue to trend Republican.
The rallying cry should be: "60 in '06"
The most effective launch pad for any '08 bid would be to take on Hillary and win. As of right now, Hillary is the Dims leading candidate for '08 and will most likely remain that way until the primaries. For either Pataki or Rudy to knock off their top candidate would earn them major points within the GOP rank and file. Barring a Hillary scalping, Rudy and Pataki have slim to no chance of earning the GOP '08 nomination due to their liberal stands on social issues.
A similar situation occurred here in Massachusetts back in '96 when Weld took on Kerry. It was said at the time that the winner of the race would be presidential ticket material. Kerry's win effectively finished off Weld as any kind of national contender and established Kerry as a potential VP candidate in '00 (some say he was runner up to Lieberman for the '00 VP slot) and eventual nominee in '04.
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