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How Accurate Was Democrat John Zogby? Hedgehog Report
Hedgehog Report ^

Posted on 11/03/2004 7:20:36 AM PST by GOP

How Accurate Was Democrat John Zogby? Can we all agree that Democrat John Zogby is now officially a partisan hack and his days as a respectable polllster are done? Since I was rather busy yesterday before the election, I missed Democrat John Zogby’s final pick for this election. I am sure most of you saw it, but here it is just for laughs.

POPULAR VOTE Bush 49.4% Kerry 49.1%

ELECTORAL VOTE Kerry 311 Bush 213 Colorado and Nevada were “Too Close To Call".

BWAHAHAHAHA. I think we can call this Democrat John Zogby’s Final “Joke O’ The Day". Thankfully we will not have to hear about how accurate a pollster Democrat John Zogby is ever again in the future. He has always been, and will always be a partisan hack.


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KEYWORDS: zogby
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1 posted on 11/03/2004 7:20:36 AM PST by GOP
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To: GOP
Poll taken on Zogby credibility:

100% say buhbye!!

2 posted on 11/03/2004 7:21:35 AM PST by bioprof
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To: GOP

Indeed. Maybe he can find work doing polling in "Palestine".


3 posted on 11/03/2004 7:21:36 AM PST by A Balrog of Morgoth (With fire, sword, and stinging whip I drive the Rats in terror before me.)
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To: A Balrog of Morgoth

Has Zogby released his super-final last poll numbers yet? Will they still show Kerry momentum?


4 posted on 11/03/2004 7:22:15 AM PST by thecanuck
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To: bioprof

What time does Zogby release his poll today?

: )


5 posted on 11/03/2004 7:23:00 AM PST by zook
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To: GOP
John Zogby??? Who is that, I seem to remember the name, but it escapes me. Oh, now I remember, he is the guy who was once thought to be a polling God, but just got lucky once.

Good Riddance!

6 posted on 11/03/2004 7:23:54 AM PST by Sthitch
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To: zook

Breaking news: Zogby is a relative of Baghdad Bob


7 posted on 11/03/2004 7:24:22 AM PST by mmyers
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To: thecanuck

I just got polled by Zogby this morning. Wanted to know who I will vote for. I told him I was undecided. I'm waiting to see 60mins this sunday before I decide.


8 posted on 11/03/2004 7:24:59 AM PST by mlbford2 ("Never wrestle with a pig; you can't win, you just get filthy, and the pig loves it...")
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To: GOP

ZOGBY ERROR ANALYSIS - ELECTION 2004 [CLOSE LOOK AT ZOGBY "SAUCE" DATA ]

==============================
Arizona Zogby had it +6% for Bush Final +11% for Bush

Arkansas Zogby had it +3% for Bush Final +9% for Bush

Colorado Zogby had it too close to call Final +7% for Bush

Florida Zogby had it +.1% for Kerry and trending Kerry Final +5% for Bush

Iowa Zogby had it +5% for Kerry Final still TBD

Michigan Zogby had it +6% for Kerry Final Result +3% for Kerry

Minnesota Zogby had it +6% for Kerry Final Result +3% for Kerry

Missouri Zogby had it +3% for Bush Final Result +8% for Bush

Nevada Zogby had it too close to call Final +3% for Bush

New Hampshire Zogby had it +5% for Kerry Final Result +1% for Kerry

New Mexico Zogby had it +3% for Kerry Final - still TBD

North Carolina Zogby had it +3% for Bush Final +13% for Bush

Oregon Zogby had it +10% for Kerry Final Result +5% for Kerry

Ohio Zogby had it +2% for Bush but trending Kerry Final TBD

Pennsylvania Zogby had it trending Kerry Final Result +3% for Kerry

Tennessee Zogby had it +4% for Bush Final +14% for Bush

Virginia Zogby had it slight edge for Bush Final +8% for Bush

Washington Zogby had it +10% for Kerry Final Result +7% for Kerry

West Virginia Zogby had it +4% for Bush Final +14% for Bush

Wisconsin Zogby had it +6% for Kerry Final Result +1% for Kerry


CONCLUSION - ZOGBY off by 7-10% on Kerry --- Zogby Sauce 9% for Arafat support]


ZOGBY ERROR ANALYSIS - PRIMARIES [CLOSE LOOK AT ZOGBY "SAUCE" DATA ]

==============================
Actual NH Final Jan 27 -John Kerry 84,229 38% 13 Howard Dean 57,788 26%
Zogby NH Primary Tracking Poll Jan 25
Kerry 31% Dean 28% Clark 13% Edwards 12% Lieberman 9%
RESULT: Actual Diff: 12% (Kerry - Dean)

CONCLUSION Zogby Sauce 9% for Arafat support


==============================

Actual IOWA caucus 01/20/04 - Kerry 38, Edwards 32, Dean 18, Gephardt drops out
Zogby IOWA Poll for 01/18/04 - Kerry 24, Dean 23, Gephardt 19, Edwards 18.

CONCLUSION - ZOGBY off by 14% on Kerry --- Zogby Sauce 14% for Arafat support]


THE REAL DEAL : ACCURACY
FreeRepublic > Drudge > Debka > Broken clock > New York Times > Zogby > Dead Rabbit

9 posted on 11/03/2004 7:25:25 AM PST by Diogenesis (Cuius rei demonstrationem mirabilem sane detexi hanc marginis exiguitas non caperet.)
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To: GOP

Actually, his poll was pretty close (Bush +2). It was only after he had all the leaners put in the Kerry column that blew it.


10 posted on 11/03/2004 7:25:41 AM PST by WildTurkey
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To: thecanuck

Nah, he'll fudge the results to match the final outcome, being the total dishonest, non objective, fraud that he is.


11 posted on 11/03/2004 7:25:53 AM PST by TimPatriot
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To: GOP

He threw in the exit polling results at the end, which threw Kerry's numbers up. He got suckered just like the rest of them.


12 posted on 11/03/2004 7:26:16 AM PST by cspackler (There are 10 kinds of people in this world, those who understand binary and those who don't.)
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To: A Balrog of Morgoth
Palestine is not even a country, and John is an American, why do you suppose he needs to work in Palestine? Do I see a racist comment? Christians from Arab extractraction should be considered no less than any other Americans. The Moslems are the ones with partiality to their homelands.
13 posted on 11/03/2004 7:27:13 AM PST by philosofy123
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To: GOP

I flushed Zogby down the toilet days ago. Oh how the mighty have fallen from 2000.


14 posted on 11/03/2004 7:27:25 AM PST by ohioGOP
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To: GOP

I can't believe the idiot was calling it for Kerry back in May, what an incredibly stupid thing to do. Zogby's accuracy myth is finally put in the grave.


15 posted on 11/03/2004 7:27:51 AM PST by Brett66 (Dan Rather, the most busted man in America.)
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To: cspackler
Did he have a percentage for "undecided" in the EXIT poll results (!) ......LOL!
16 posted on 11/03/2004 7:28:31 AM PST by bioprof
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To: GOP

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1268468/posts?page=1,50


17 posted on 11/03/2004 7:28:42 AM PST by 1 spark
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To: GOP

Don't worry in two years everyone will be stressed whenever Zogby shows a Republican down in a key state. How soon we forget.


18 posted on 11/03/2004 7:30:55 AM PST by KJacob (I seem to have lost my tagline.)
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Zogby's special sauce has no bite.


19 posted on 11/03/2004 7:32:46 AM PST by Oystir
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To: GOP

Zogby left his special sauce outside a little too long and it went rotten.


20 posted on 11/03/2004 7:33:34 AM PST by Always Right
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