[Jorge]

Based on past viewing of returns in Florida, the Republican needs to net close to 60 percent in the early returns to be assured of a victory, since South Florida (Palm Beach, Broward and Miami Dade) report later and will erode any (R) lead.

What about the Panhandle?

[CFC__VRWC]

It helps, but S. Florida is much more heavily populated - 1/3 of the state lives there. Just over 3 percent reporting now - returns starting to come in from Orange County (Orlando - Gore Country in 2000, but Martinez' base) - Bush still extending his lead. I'll post new numbers in a bit.