[Cvengr]

From http://election.sos.state.oh.us/results/RaceDetail.aspx?race=PP


100% precinct reported except for those noted below.

Statewide Totals
Bush, George W. Republican 2,734,323 51.43%
Kerry, John F. Democratic 2,556,665 48.09%
Precincts Reporting: 97.69% 5,316,576

Cuyahoga
Kerry, John F. Democratic 373,242 65.77%
Bush, George W. Republican 190,984 33.66%
Precincts Reporting: 87.26% 567,467

Hamilton
Bush, George W. Republican 208,110 53.22%
Kerry, John F. Democratic 181,293 46.36%
Precincts Reporting: 95.26% 391,073

Knox
Bush, George W. Republican 16,553 65.36%
Kerry, John F. Democratic 8,634 34.09%
Precincts Reporting: 98.21% 25,326

Lucas
Kerry, John F. Democratic 102,852 60.02%
Bush, George W. Republican 68,106 39.74%
Precincts Reporting: 93.94% 171,370

[pilgrim]

Dominici has just called NM for President Bush

[Cvengr]

Ohio SOS site reports:

Statewide Totals
Bush, George W. Republican 2,747,992 51.36%
Kerry, John F. Democratic 2,576,459 48.16%
Precincts Reporting: 97.86% 5,350,128


Only change from last report is an increase in Bush proportion of Lucas county vote, although still second to Kerry in Lucas.

Lucas
Kerry, John F. Democratic 122,646 59.85%
Bush, George W. Republican 81,775 39.91%
Precincts Reporting: 97.78% 204,922

[Cvengr]

In Ohio,

Cuyahoga 82850
Hamilton 19460
Knox 462
Lucas 4653
about 107425 votes not yet tallied..if percentages of precincts tallied is propostional to the voting population actively voting.

Bush leads at present by 171,533.

Even if all outstanding votes were given to Kerry, Bush still wins by 64,108.

If say 250,000 provisional votes come in at the same percentage rate as Cuyahoga County being a pro-Kerry county,..+ 107425 = 357425 votes max


65.77% Kerry 357425= 235079
33.66% Bush 357425= 120309

177,533Bush lead - 114,770 (assume Kerry adv.) = 62763

looks like Bush is going to win Ohio by at least 62,000 and probably more.

If the same benefit of doubt were given to Bush, Bush wins by

48.16% Kerry 357425= 172136
51.36% Bush 357425= 183574

177,533Bush lead + 11438 (assume Kerry adv.) = 188,971

Looks like Bush will win Ohio by 62,000-189,000 votes or 1-3% of the total vote.