[TonyInOhio]

When has an incumbent candidate ever won when he is tied with his challenger on election eve?

Since when is a 3-4 point lead considered tied?

What a steaming pile.

[BibChr]

My same thought. In fact, I had to re-read. He says incumbents don't lose if they're not tied, and I thought, "OK, so, since W is ahead, he's going to win -- so where's he get his conclusion?"

Dan