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Stanford Electoral Predictor Bush 84% Chance of Winning, Kerry 15% Chance
Stanford.edu ^ | 11/1/04 | Stanford University

Posted on 11/01/2004 4:35:27 PM PST by Bell407Pilot

Stanford Electoral Predictor -

Bush 84% Chance of Re-Election. Kerry 15% Chance of Winning.


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: bushwin
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To: Bell407Pilot

I'm for 'SC but I respect Stanford.


21 posted on 11/01/2004 4:50:27 PM PST by dmanLA
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To: Bell407Pilot

Their state polls are real good for Bush, even giving Bush a slight edge in Pennsylvania. Reminded me of Rush's comment right at the end of his show today about not being surprised if PA went for Bush; he thinks W. PA might put "W" over the top there.


22 posted on 11/01/2004 4:50:42 PM PST by bushisdamanin04
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To: OneTimeLurker

Don't worry Wang is wonge.


23 posted on 11/01/2004 4:53:24 PM PST by ProudVet77 (W stands for Winner)
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To: Chunga

"Dick Morris likes Rasmussen, which worries me."

I know Morris is a jinx but Ras predicted the election for the President yesterday on a Fox show. He came along with Zogby, who we know his prediction. Charlie Cook, well-known pollster, said the President will win with 271 EV's and Larry Sabato said 269 TIE, apparently. Zogby seems to be alone from other pollsters, unless he changes his prediction tomorrow (which is very possible).


24 posted on 11/01/2004 4:54:00 PM PST by plushaye (President Bush - Four more years! Thanks Swifties and POWs for Truth.)
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To: Bell407Pilot

OH me likey.


25 posted on 11/01/2004 4:54:25 PM PST by lawgirl (Live What I Believe: http://pages.sbcglobal.net/bommer/Live%20What%20I%20Believe.html)
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To: stockpirate

Guess you vote in North Philadelphia.......


26 posted on 11/01/2004 4:56:23 PM PST by dwilli
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To: bushisdamanin04

I think Bush is going to win easily but I must admit it makes me nervous that Rush says he doesnt know what is going to be the outcome on Tuesday.


27 posted on 11/01/2004 5:10:26 PM PST by badgerbengal (If Bush wins here in WI Kerry will get slaughtered)
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To: badgerbengal

Yeah, drives me crazy. I hope Rush is just trying to keep conservative turn-out high.


28 posted on 11/01/2004 5:14:35 PM PST by bushisdamanin04
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To: bushisdamanin04
Maybe tomorrow Rush will be at his best in upraising our spirits.
29 posted on 11/01/2004 5:16:07 PM PST by badgerbengal (If Bush wins here in WI Kerry will get slaughtered)
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To: badgerbengal

Mine won't be satisfied until Kerry concedes. BTW, has Gore conceded yet? :)


30 posted on 11/01/2004 5:22:28 PM PST by bushisdamanin04
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To: onyx

Read their methodology; it's better than most polling agencies handle their stats......


31 posted on 11/01/2004 5:26:47 PM PST by OregonRancher (illigitimus non carborundum)
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To: OregonRancher


I like their numbers.
How's their record?

I am not at home,
I am using a slow
laptop.


32 posted on 11/01/2004 5:30:35 PM PST by onyx (John "F" Kerry deserves to be the final casualty of the Vietnam War - Re-elect Bush/Cheney)
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To: badgerbengal

Well, after Rush predicted a W landslide in '04, it wouldn't be too wise of him to make another prediction...


33 posted on 11/01/2004 5:31:06 PM PST by Guillermo (OJ is innocent because Mark Fuhrman said the "N" word.)
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To: bushisdamanin04

I'm a Cal fan ..... but tonight I'll go with the Cardinal.

Since a lot of people are stressing tonight, how about enjoying a fun moment.

34 posted on 11/01/2004 5:33:52 PM PST by Troublemaker
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To: Petronski

"Lurch gets one chance in seven. Nice."

From my POV, it's appalling that he could get more than 5% of the vote.


35 posted on 11/01/2004 5:34:15 PM PST by dsc (LIBERALS: If we weren't so darned civilized, there'd be a bounty on them.)
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To: Troublemaker

Greatest play ever!


36 posted on 11/01/2004 5:35:10 PM PST by bushisdamanin04
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To: bushisdamanin04

The guy was down but its still fun to see


37 posted on 11/01/2004 5:39:01 PM PST by skaterboy (BUSH 306 KERRY 232)
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To: Troublemaker

all right,
GO Cal Bears.......#4 in the AP......i'm right near Bezerkely but solid Repub. Hate the Stanford Cardinals aldo but they do have a fine higher ed institution with the Hoover institute and all.......they know their stuff. I'm betting they are right on the mark


38 posted on 11/01/2004 5:42:20 PM PST by NorCalRepub
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To: stockpirate

Hmm, lets see, 65 + 42 = 107%. Yep, if you figure in the deceased vote, that should be about right! ;o)


39 posted on 11/01/2004 5:44:47 PM PST by Don Carlos (Me cache en los Moros. Ancient Spanish curse. (Hate-speech since Spain's concession to terrorism)).)
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To: NorCalRepub

Hey, there is a decent chance that USC-Cal will have a rematch for the national title. I love both their uniforms; great colors!


40 posted on 11/01/2004 5:48:57 PM PST by bushisdamanin04
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