Posted on 11/01/2004 8:51:30 AM PST by Josh in PA
Reposting it for those who missed it last night.
I love it!
Did you predict in 2000 or 2002?
Already posted.
(just kidding)
sounds good to me!
turnout will be key.
I'll drink to that.
Pretty neat. Not sure where you came up with 3.5 million votes for Bush in FL. He got about 3 million in 2000 and Jeb got about the same in 2002.
One variable that is supposedly very good is the money donated in state versus out of state as it measures intensity. When locals donate versus out of state $ - the local money usually wins.
Lord knows the RNC thinks I am an easy touch with my checkbook. Ditto the Swifties, NRA, etc.
If Rush Limbaugh is happy today he has good news from his
insiders in the party. If he rants & raves he has bad news
from the same source.
Well, hopefully we'll find out in ca. 40 hours. To err feels divine, but to really screw things up it takes a computer...
Good point, and I have been "eagerly awaiting" the start of Rush's show, coming up in a couple minutes.
Sounds about right.
Time will tell.
Your model seems okay, although I can't say I agree with a projection of 12 million new voters over 2000.
Excuse me. I see you ar eprojecting over 15 million new voters - I missed the Nader/other columns.
That seems extremely optimistic.
If there's 12 million new voters,the White House call the movers and start packing.
CAMEC? Hell, it could be Carnac for all I care. It agrees with my world view so I'm all for it.
I hear no great jubilation in Limbaugh's voice, started
off the first segment campaigning more that commenting.
Have you anchored it with past election results? If not, it is just election noise. If so, it would be very enlightening.
The high voter turnout helps Dems is a myth perpetrated by the left and the media.
There are just as many Republicans out there that don't vote than Democrats. Trust me on this!!!
This is one of the most blatant false urban myth's associated with politics.
ping
I'll remind you. 46 million people voted for Richard Nixon in 1972. Only 4 million less than what Bush got in 2000.
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