I hope you're wrong. I'm predicting Bush by about 17,000 votes. (Engler 1990 all over again)
Gay marriage ban saves the day.
I'm still counting on your prediction and helping too. Tomorrow I will walk/drive from 10:00 AM - 9:00 PM in under-performing precincts northeast of Grand Rapids.
I don't know what to make of the model here. Turnout looks to be a little higher than what's projected but not out of line. Bush looks to gain 350,000 more votes than in 2000, Kerry 184,000 more than Gore. It's all down to getting out the vote now. I notice Gore went to various churches today, from Grand Rapids, to Lansing to Flint. Kennedy was in Detroit, the mayor made his way to 4 or 5 churches and Kerry will be there tomorrow.
Granholm said today that Kerry would take the state by 6. Down deep I know she doesn't want Kerry in the White House, then she will have nobody to blame for her incompetence.