Earlier this month, sKerry's original plan was to camp out in OH and FL for the rest of the election cycle. However Bush's campaign swings into OR, NJ, HI, MI, MN, NM, and IA must have melted down sKerry's support in those states. Thus creating a very fickle electorate. 2004 will be remembered as being the year of the fickle voter.
How is it possible Gallup could have Mr Bush up by 8 in FL just 6 days ago while today they say he is down by 3?? I just don't believe it. Gallup's national poll also shows Bush way ahead among men while the Fox poll says he is trailing. Makes me think none of these things is accurate.
Don't worry about Gallup. Their wide swings in voter sentiment in FL and OH are NOT believable. I'm thinking they got the attributions for OH and PA reversed. They probably meant to show Bush up in OH and Kerry up in PA. Anyway, don't worry about it and just GOTV. That's all any one can do right now. I would say in passing that this computer model sounds right about where it will break down in the final results Tuesday night.
Based on the info I'm getting from Ohio, there is no way Bush loses there. I'd expect Florida's the same. Plus, remeber that estimates of the Panhandle votes Bush missed in 2000 range from 10,000 to 50,000. Those people will NOT be staying home this time out.