Well Gallup says Bush is up by 4% in Pennsylvania, and down by 4% in Ohio, and 3% in Florida, where apparently Bush has collapsed. Probably Florida has tightened enough to frighten Bush. He spent his whole day there. If Bush drops Florida and Ohio, and wins Pennsylvania, then he needs to win 2 out of the 3 fat belt states. Gallup shows Bush up by 8% in Wisconsin, and down 8% in Minnesota, and up a bit in Iowa. The pollsters are at sea John. They don't have a clue. The state numbers are all over the map.
Thats my take. Clueless in Pollsterville. The internals are not reflected in the poll numbers. The breakdown by sex and region are whacky in the national polls. All we can say is its tight and watch where they campaign. BAsed on that I think we have a slight edge and I'll settle for slight.
Yep. I've never seen polls so volatile a day away from the election. No way Bush loses FL and OH and wins PA, WI, and IA. The state by state numbers don't pass the "smell test."
See post 70.