I would wish Bush were up 8 pts. But maybe this will turn out the base better, since everyone knows anything can happen. Funny how most of the tracking polls have ties, but the once-a-week polls have Bush with a small, clear lead. What say you pundits out there??
CBS shows Bush leading and they inserted UNCERTAINITY REIGNS.....no bias here.
2,3,4 point leads. Regardless it comes down to the electoral college. Very few Republican states are in jeopardy compared to the democrats. If Bush wins florida, Kerry is just about sunk because Bush will win Ohio.
This is making me a bit nervous. Bush is up + 2.54% (adjusted)in My PCP.
The geometric average is within +.12 of the weighted average.
Bush should be doing better in State polls. Am I looking at this right?
Flukish individual days drag Bush down in the tracking polls, such as Friday night when millions of family men were at high school football games.