[puroresu]

Hopefully it's ABC/WaPo beginning to show a Bush trendline.

[Cosmo]

IS ABC/WAPO due out? Otherwise, it's probably Gallup.

[Gunder]

When does Gallup come out? Isn't that usually a Sunday or Monday poll?

[reflecting]

who is marshall?

[slowhand520]

I think the Poll he is speculating on is TIME. They usually come out on Sundays

[Dr Snide]

Yeah I'm hoping for a bigger number from Gallup than this so hopefully it is another poll. Although this is Josh Marshall so who knows, he's as partisan (and illogical) as they come

[tagawgrag]

I believe Gallup is due out at 5pm. Which means if these results are Gallup the MSM will show a Kerry surge! :-(

[Pikamax]

He is spinning the ABC Note column like crazy.

[neutrality]

If this is Gallup, it's not good news

[Lunatic Fringe]

Based on today's latest polls, and figuring tossup states going to the leading candidate, even if just by 1%.

Safe/Strong/Leaning:

Bush: 222
Kerry: 186

Slightly Leaning:

Bush: 79
Kerry: 51

Total (270 to win):

Bush: 301
Kerry: 237

[West Coast Conservative]

I hope it's not Gallup or Time. Both usually come out late Sunday, or Monday and both had Bush above 50% with a 5 point lead.

[Dane]

If it's Gallup they probably cut a point or two off, just to give some hope to their allies, the DUmmies.

I'm sticking with 52-47 Bush.

[fightu4it]

BUSH BY A LANDSLIDE!!!!!

[West Coast Conservative]

This is from Jay Cost:

I am guessing that Gallup and Time come out tomorrow with polls in line with Battleground and Newsweek. Thus, on Tuesday we will see the national, non-tracking surveys with Bush around 50% and the tracking surveys with a closer race thanks to methodological problems.

The poll coming out might be a CBS/NY Times poll. I hope!

[drwiii]

[skaterboy]

Wait and see people then look at the sample then discuss

[RocketMan1]

The Wash Post poll comes out every day at 5:00pm, so I would think that is the one.

[kesg]

I'm going to guess it is the CBS/NYT poll, because the reported margin is 48-45, which is very similar to the last CBS/NYT poll. In fact, it would be a one point improvement over the previous 47-45 result (with Nader included). If so, Bush is in great shape, because this poll tends to be overly infested with Rats.

[Lancey Howard]

Marshall Crenshaw?
What does he know?

[picturefan]

My best guess is that this will be the CBS/NYTimes poll. Their last poll in mid-October was 47-45 with Bush leading. Their last poll in 2000 understated Bush's support by 3% so a 48-45 poll from them would be good news.