"The blog analysis considered the only really realiable polls with explainable methodologies were Battleground, Gallup, and Time."
Battleground has Bush up by 5.
Gallup has Bush up by 5 too. Imagine that.
IMO this guy Jay is one of the smartest bloggers on polls
http://jaycost.blogspot.com/2004/10/theorizing-about-oh-ground-game.html