Well, I never said this would lead to Kerry winning. But no one can deny that with four days to go before the election, the more ammunition Kerry and his cohorts have to pound Bush with, the more pounding Bush will take. In 2000, no one thought the Friday release of Bush`s 20 year old DUI/DWAI charges would undermine his popular vote support, but it did.
In 1972, 1980, 1984 and 1988, we knew that victory was practically in the bag. In 1968 and 2000, that wasn't the case. In 1976 we all got a huge shock. This time around, the odds are Bush will win. However, it does no good to overlook this issue four days before the election and think it will have no impact over the weekend.
Are you seriously saying that '76 was a shock? Uh - Watergate? Poland not being under Soviet control?
This actually proves my point. Go vote!
I was only 12 in '76 so I wasn't paying much attention to politics. However, I can't imagine anyone was "shocked" by Jimmy Carter's victory over President Ford, coming as it did right after Watergate, and with the specter of Nixon's pardon hanging over Ford. In fact, the only thing shocking to me is that Carter didn't win in a landslide. That alone should have been an early indicator of just how bad his Presidency (the worst in American history, bar none) was going to be.