Reuters/Zogby: Bush and Kerry Locked in Dead Heat [Bush 47% Kerry 47%]

Reuters ^ | October 29, 2004 | John Whitesides

[gaspar]

It is laughable that Zogby should be so pro-Kerry. He is the spawn of hundreds of thousands of immigrants from Greater Syria (Lebanon and Syria) who, given widespread 20th Century Ottoman and then Arab Muslim intolerance, escaped the Middle East for the New World. There is one constant that is found in most of these families, the anti-Semitism they brought with them. If Bush would only back Arafat (and get those damned Palestinians out of Lebabon) Zogby would support him 100%.

[Dr.Deth]

And Neuters always reports only the facts with no spin. Yea, ya betcha.

[comebacknewt]

No sense trying to guess what Zogby's future numbers will be. He has already declared Kerry the winner. He will make sure his numbers fit that prediction.

Look for him to show F'n up by 2 or 3 points tomorrow, and the stories about Kerry's "surge" will dominate the news once again.

[kesg]

No sense trying to guess what Zogby's future numbers will be. He has already declared Kerry the winner. He will make sure his numbers fit that prediction.

It depends on whether he cares more about attempting to influence the election than jeopardizing his (mostly unearned) reputation for accuracy. Bet on the later, but don't bet the ranch.

Look for him to show F'n up by 2 or 3 points tomorrow, and the stories about Kerry's "surge" will dominate the news once again.

Maybe, but a good Tuesday for Kerry drops out of tomorrow's rolling average.

Really, these tracking polls are almost worthless at this stage of the campaign. Gallup's last poll has Bush up five points. The Battleground Poll, out today, has Bush up by five points. These polls are conducted by professionals and, in Gallup's case, by an organization that has been doing polling for six decades and puts its own reputation for fairness and accuracy above all other considerations. Zogby, by contrast, is a partisan hack has publicly declared that he thinks Kerry will win and who doesn't abide by the national guidelines followed by most other pollsters. His numbers cannot be trusted except purely for entertainment value -- except when they look good for Bush.