To: freestyle
to be fair -- I will make my prediction too.
Bush 49.7 -- 271
Kerry 49.1 -- 267
Nader 1.2 -- 0
Senate -- 51-48-1
House -- 229(R)
Thune will win very close election in SD
Legal actions and recounts will not permit us to know the winner the night of the election -- and after a flurry of legal actions and challenges -- Bush will be declared winner in 10 days or less.
Bush cannot -- and will not exceed 52 percent of the vote under any scenario. High mark would likely be 51.3%
Bush will lose Ohio and New Hampshire -- but he will capture Wisconsin, Iowa and New Mexico.
Bush will lose NJ by not less than 10%
Surprise close finish of the night -- Virginia. Massive turnout in Northern Virginia will put scare in Bush campaign --- but Bush carries the Old-dominion by 2 points.
With respect to the prediction made in the article in this thread by Skinner -- he has no idea what he is talking about. Enormous turnout in Northern Virginia will swamp Moran challenger in the Congressional 8th District. It is one of the most active and liberal Congressional Districts outside of any real urban City. Lisa Marie Cheney, a pro-life Republican will fail to capture 40% of the vote.
Bookmark these predictions and let's see how we all do!
To: Iron Eagle
Conventional wisdom says this will be as close or closer than the 200 election...
...the only thing I know for sure is that conventional wisdom is usually wrong.
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