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Several problems. The new video seems difficult to correlate with the totality of the evidence.

It appears that the date of the video indicates that the video was taken about a week after the 101st passed through the site.

What were the trucks in the satellite photo doing at the facility?

Even assuming the explosives were at the site after the U.S. military passed through, how could 380 tons of explosives be carted out unnoticed? Jerry Bremer stated on Fox News this morning that the U.S. military owned the roads and the sky around the facility for weeks after the fall of Baghdad. Also consider that approximately 40 large trucks and a significant amount of manpower and time would be necessary to remove the explosives.

IAEA documents recently obtained by Fox News indicate that one of the explosives (RDX or HMX?)existed in a quantity of three tons, not approximately 150 (sorry I can't remember the exact number).

In terms of the election, this issue will end up being a draw on the merits. The position of the administration is that no conclusions should be drawn before a formal investigation is conducted. This is a very responsible position. The left will continue to scream "lie, lie, cover-up, incompetence, failure, etc." They will try in futility to prove their claim. They will fail. The administration and its supporters will rightly point out the weight of the evidence against the left's rush to judgment. The electorate will see it as a "he said, she said" and chalk it up to politics. In other words, what is left of the persuadable vote in the electorate will end up not knowing what to think.

The political danger for John Kerry is that he may come across as too over-the-top in his attacks. He could be seen as indirectly attacking the troops. He also poses the risk of seeming to eager to attack the President and the mission, especially considering the majority of Americans give the President high marks on his national security efforts and overall likability. Americans don't like to see someone being piled on unfairly. The transparent media efforts to attack the President may add to the public's anger. I have always believed that the reason the Democrats did so well in the 1998 elections was because large segments of the public thought we were going to far, rightly or wrongly, in attacking Clinton over Monica Lewinsky. I'm hoping Kerry just turns off any remaining persuadable voters.
The left is growing more and more shrill in the closing days of this election. They may very well be overplaying their hand.