Coors will win. He has a monumental get out the vote process that won him the primary by a huge margin.
I'm hearing Vitter is well within striking distance of getting 50%+1 and will not need to go to the runoff.
Washington Democrats have been pouring money into the state to spread lies about Vitter to prevent this from happening. However, everytime they launch a smear campaign Vitter's numbers go up.
People down here do not take too kindly to Washington outsiders meddling in our politics. You would think Dems would have learned their lesson from the Republicans when they poured money in against Landreau... Then again, no one ever accused Dems of being bright.
Coors will probably win, Bush may get pasted there with the whole proportional distribution of electoral votes being counted immediately (if the amendment passes there), but I for one expect Coors to win, because that state simply is not very good about electing Dems to statewide office. Plus with 11th hour campaigning there can effect a sudden swing. Also the edge that Salazar has is still inside the margin of error.
My money is on Mel in FL, simply because of name recognition and being a Cuban American. Miami-Dade may be heavily Democrat, but it's also got a significant Cuban-American population, which votes almost exclusively Republican, the area is big enough that it could influence an otherwise close race statewide, and Florida, unlike Louisiana, does often cross party lines in the same given election, so even if Bush lost the Sunshine State Mel is still a likely winner, and Florida also is a state that prefers having one Senator of one party and the other of the other party, as past elections have trended (2000 for Nelson notwithstanding, but this is an open race.
Erskine Bowles could not eek out a win against Libby Dole in 02, who is very controversial, so I doubt he'll beat Burr, plus North Carolina is one of those states that the seat often shifts parties from one election to the next, (hence Lauch Faircloth losing to Edwards in 98). Tarheels simply don't like losers.
South Carolina will elect a Republican to fill the seat vacated by Foghorn Leghorn, err, Fritz Hollings. There has been too much anger among Republicans there against the Confederate flag coming down, and voters in the Palmetto state don't easily forget
South Dakota is another state that we'll have to fight for. All things fair and right, Dasshole is finished. But as we all know with the Democrats, they don't do anything fair, and right... There will likely need to be major vote challenging on the reservations to make sure that vote fraud is, if not totally bottled, kept in check so that the 15,000 natives with 50,000 votes (or more) don't force another six years of Dasshole down the throats of the other 600,000 South Dakotans...