To: Bloody Sam Roberts
What are the odds on 2 different teams coming back from being down 3-0...CONSECUTIVELY in the same post season?All things being equal, the odds are 1 in 16. There are four games the Cards have to win, each game's odds are 50%, or 1 in 2. Multiply them all, and you get 1 in 16.
That's IF "all things are equal", which they aren't... ain't gonna happen... :-)
76 posted on
10/27/2004 1:10:02 PM PDT by
pcgTheDestroyer
(THE RED SOX WIN THE PENNANT!)
To: pcgTheDestroyer
The question was, what are the odds on two teams doing it. All else being equal then, the odds are 1:16 * 1:16, or 1:256.
90 posted on
10/27/2004 3:05:34 PM PDT by
RonF
To: pcgTheDestroyer
Wait; it's even worse. For two teams to go 0 and 3 and then win, first you have to lose the first 3, and then win the next 3. There's only one possible combination of that in 7 games, so the odds on it happening ONCE (on pure random statistics, not taking into account pitching, hitting, defense, eclipses, etc.) is 27. The odds on it happening in consecutive series is 27 * 27 = 214, or 1 in 16384.
92 posted on
10/27/2004 3:11:45 PM PDT by
RonF
To: pcgTheDestroyer
Wait; it's even worse. For two teams to go 0 and 3 and then win, first you have to lose the first 3, and then win the next 3. There's only one possible combination of that in 7 games, so the odds on it happening ONCE (on pure random statistics, not taking into account pitching, hitting, defense, eclipses, etc.) is 27. The odds on it happening in consecutive series is 27 * 27 = 214, or 1 in 16384.
93 posted on
10/27/2004 3:12:50 PM PDT by
RonF
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