Exaggerated precision alert.
How so?
I want to see his numbers because the article says that there were 17 out of 1,024 ways that a tie could occur in the 10 battleground States. That would be 17/1024 = 1.66% if my calculator is correct.
So he must have another set of numbers with Hawaii added to the mix, etc...
The problem with his 3.25% statement is that just doing the division assumes that every way that a tie could occur are equally probable, which is NOT true...
dvwjr