Well that is not hard to figure out. Look at the polls. The states up for grabs are Iowa, Wisconsin, Minnestota. Michigan, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Ohio and Florida.
You will note six of the eight states up for grabs are states Gore won and two of the eight states up for grabs are the states Bush won. If Bush gave each of the battleground states the same attention he would spend 3/4 of the time in states Gore won. But the ratio is 1/3 Ohio/Flordia and 2/3 the Gore won states.
Yeah, and KErry was in West Palm Beach... a Dem stronghold. It's almost as if he's backed up on his own 15-yard line...
I've seen the following conjecture recently (there are four possible scenarios):
1- GOP don't feel they need Ohio. They think things look promising in Florida, Wisconsin, New Mexico, Iowa and think they are going to steal either Minnesota or Michigan.
2- They think they're close in Ohio and will close the deal down the stretch. They think Ohio voters will return to their default position, especially with gay marriage on the ballot, and vote GOP. Remember, they carried Ohio by 4% in 00 and did not do better in any big state north of the Mason-Dixon line.
3- They believe some combination of 1 and 2 is true.
4- They are making a monumental and epic campaign blunder by inflating where they stand in the other key states and Ohio and they're gonna blow this election because of that.