You are missing California, Oregon, Washington, and Michigan. Try again.
Yeah, the numbers in post #66 include CA and the other states (I found a complete table of Early voting states). Since most of the early voting states are Red, I still think Bush is in good shape. I Posted an article earlier today that suggested in WVA for example the Republican GOTV drive was ahead of the RATs for early voters.
Bush needs to win FL & WI, and maybe one other Blue state. I believe he could lose OH and still win.