Posted on 10/26/2004 8:25:30 AM PDT by conservativecorner
President Bush outpolled Democratic challenger John Kerry by 8 points among likely Florida voters surveyed in a CNN/USA Today/Gallup poll released Monday, but other polls indicated a tighter race.
In the CNN poll, Bush had 51 percent and Kerry 43 percent among likely voters interviewed. The result was similar among registered voters: 51 percent for Bush and 42 percent for Kerry. Independent candidate Ralph Nader drew the support of 1 percent of respondents in both categories.
The poll interviewed 909 registered Florida voters Thursday through Sunday. Of those, 768 indicated they were likely to vote in the presidential election.
The margin of error in both categories was plus or minus 4 percentage points.
The results were consistent with the last poll Gallup conducted in Florida, which found in late September that 52 percent of respondents chose Bush and 43 percent Kerry.
I take this one with a grain of salt. Of course, if true, would not only give Kerry scant hope of winning the election, but more importantly would mean that there would be no Florida II in 2004.
We shall see.
The poll interviewed 909 registered Florida voters Thursday through Sunday. Of those, 768 indicated they were likely to vote in the presidential election.
That's an important fact
Man! Who can keep up with these polls? Every day it's
"too close to call" or
"Bush by 3 / 4 / 5 / or 6 points"
Are they just trying to game us?
Ignore the polls and vote and get your friends to vote!
NONSENSE!!! The dems can roust out enough Cubans, Jamaicans and Haitians and have them vote only 3 or 4 times apiece and overcome that deficit!!
But ARG has Kerry up by 90% or was it 120%?
Look at what the pollsters were showing the week before the 2000 election
I only listen to Gallup and Zogby.... I also check IEM- can't trust the others.
The TREND is running in W's favor....despite all the blather from the Dems and the MSM, if they could choose, they'd rather be in W's position now..their spinning is reachign fever pitch..a sign of desparation..the race is gona break..BIG..for W....soon..
Whereis the latest Mason/Dixon #s? They are usually good.
I don't believe it, but it would explain why neither candidate is scheduled for Florida in the next week.
I will be sure to ping you on the next poll I see.
Gallup would hurt its credibility if it intentionally put out a false poll. And polling is all they do.
Ditto's
No time for Complacency.
This battle has to be won first so the war can be concluded.
The DUI threw everything off.
That's what I have been thinking as well. Gallup in particular cares much more about its reputation, developed over six decades, than shilling for one candidate or the other.
I would make an exception for polls sponsored by ideologically-driven media outlets such as the NYT and LA Times (the jury is still out on the Washington Post poll, but in the end I don't think they will end up belonging in the same category), but generally pollsters are working harder than ever this week to get it right rather than to please their favorite candidates.
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