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To: Fishing-guy

"The fascist governement's days on mainland are numbered. A democratic society will occur when China has a critical number of well-educated middle class."

Wrong. Nazi Germany had plenty of well-educated middle class people. If it wasn't for the fact that Nazi Germany was overzealous in its military pursuits it would likely still exist today. There is nothing inheritly instable about a fascist dictatorship. As long as Chinese in the cities are doing well financially there will be no serious calls for increased democracy. It simply won't happen. If on the other hand the economy does falter and social unrest rises then the leadership of the PRC will likely turn its eye on "enemies" to distract the populace and awaken nationalism. Japan and Taiwan (and therefore also the U.S.) will undoubtably be at the top of the list. I suspect we will not see real democracy in mainland China in our lifetimes, at least not without significant bloodshed.


5 posted on 10/25/2004 1:33:31 AM PDT by Avenger
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To: Avenger

Well, I disagree. ROC and S. Korea went from a fascist state to democracy in a short period of time.

Talking to the Chinese college students at my church, I would say the fascists' days are really numbered.


6 posted on 10/25/2004 1:41:46 AM PDT by Fishing-guy
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