I'd love to see their internal polling. I just don't get how anyone can honestly think Bush will lose this race. He's BEATING Kerry in Minnesota (+2), New Mexico (+5), Wisconsin (+3), Iowa (+5), and Hawaii (+1), he's tied in Florida and Ohio (although two new polls out in OH have him up by 4 - Rasmussen - and 5 - Zogby), and he's seriously tied or slightly trailing in Pennsylvania and New Hampshire.
Colorado isn't even close, no poll has showed Kerry within 5 points in the past six polls, Kerry just pulled ads there today. Nevada, supposedly, has a 2 to 1 Republican lead in early voting and Bush is still polling above +4 in most polls. Arkansas, Missouri, North Carolina, and Tennessee are all out of the picture now.
Essentially Kerry's going to need a straight flush here.
My head says Bush will win by a good margin. However, it's impossible not to be affected by the massive sliming over the past year by the MSM, Micheal Moore, the Hollywood crowd, the 527s, George Soros, etc.
Where did you hear/see that Kerry pulled ads in Colorado? Link?