I thought this was worth reposting from a few years ago. The major determinant of the election in not the swing voter but the intensity of the vote and pollsters can’t gauge turnout. The pollsters just make assumption. Rasmussen just weights his raw data according to last time.
1 posted on 10/24/2004 11:20:25 AM PDT by Dave Burns
That is really, really interesting. One of the things I have heard wisphered around the net is how the polling models are all based on pre 9-11 models. No one really knows how 9-11 may have effect the intensity of voters.
I met alot of people in Massachusetts that would vote for the gop, but might not be turning out. the reason being is the gop candidates never win. hopefully i get them to go to this election atleast.