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Bush, Kerry in dead heat, Florida survey shows (Is it me or does this contradict itself)
sun- sentinel.com ^ | October 24 2004 | William E. Gibson

Posted on 10/23/2004 10:22:34 PM PDT by blogblogginaway

A surge of newly registered voters has helped Democrat John Kerry regain momentum in the presidential race in Florida, where he has pulled even or just slightly ahead of President Bush, according to a statewide poll less than two weeks before the election.

Kerry has rebounded in Florida and other key electoral states since falling behind Bush in the aftermath of the Republican National Convention early last month. The momentum now is shifting almost daily, however, leaving the two candidates in a statistical dead heat on their way to a suspenseful finish.

The latest poll, conducted Oct. 18-21 by Research 2000 for the South Florida Sun-Sentinel and Florida Times-Union, found Kerry leading Bush by the narrowest of margins in Florida: 48 percent to 47 percent, with 2 percent for independent candidate Ralph Nader.

The results came from 600 registered Florida voters who have a history of voting in statewide elections. They reflect the state's party affiliations and demographics by age, gender, race and region. The poll had a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.

Kerry fared best with African-Americans and the youngest and oldest voters. Bush held a clear lead among middle-aged voters and Hispanics.

Interviews with some of those surveyed indicate that new voters, who have registered in record numbers this year, are giving Kerry his best chance for ousting the incumbent president. One big question on Election Day, Nov. 2, is whether these newcomers will show up at their polling places.

(Excerpt) Read more at sun-sentinel.com ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: cowflop; pollflorida
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To: bucephalus

Recall, though, that Jeb didn't lead by that much in the polls. His margin of victory was totally unexpected, due to a superior ground game.


41 posted on 10/24/2004 8:55:10 AM PDT by The Old Hoosier (Right makes might.)
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To: GmbyMan

He hasn't been there in a while

If you are talking about Florida, Bush was there Saturday and very large crowds came to see him.


42 posted on 10/24/2004 8:59:34 AM PDT by Faith-Hope
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To: The Old Hoosier

W's margin of victory will be 300K plus votes.

You need to show ID to vote in FL. or you will be challenged. The GOP knows what precincts are corrupt and will be out in force at those locations.:

101.043 Identification required at polls.—
(1) The precinct register, as prescribed in s.
98.461, shall be used at the polls in lieu of the registration books for the purpose of identifying the elector at the polls prior to allowing him or her to vote.

The clerk or inspector shall require each elector, upon entering the polling place, to present a current and valid picture identification as provided in s. 97.0535(3)(a).

If the picture identification does not contain the signature of the voter, an additional identification that provides the
voter’s signature shall be required.

The elector shall sign his or her name in the space provided, and the clerk or inspector shall compare the signature with that on the identification provided by the elector and enter his or her initials in the space provided and allow the elector to vote if the clerk or inspector is satisfied as to the identity of the elector.

(2) Except as provided in subsection (3), if the elector
fails to furnish the required identification, or if the
clerk or inspector is in doubt as to the identity of the
elector, such clerk or inspector shall follow the procedure
prescribed in s. 101.49.

(3) If the elector who fails to furnish the required
identification is a first-time voter who registered by mail
and has not provided the required identification to the
supervisor of elections prior to election day, the elector
shall be allowed to vote a provisional ballot. The canvassing board shall determine the validity of the ballot
pursuant to s. 101.048(2).


43 posted on 10/24/2004 9:09:13 AM PDT by Rome2000 (The ENEMY for Kerry!!!)
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To: Rome2000

That is heartening.


44 posted on 10/24/2004 9:32:49 AM PDT by The Old Hoosier (Right makes might.)
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To: FairOpinion

Makes sense. I support your new law.


45 posted on 10/24/2004 9:44:15 AM PDT by nathanbedford
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To: blogblogginaway

freely translated this column reads: "hopefully, voter fraud will pull our guy through."


46 posted on 10/24/2004 9:47:50 AM PDT by EDINVA (a FReeper in PJ's beats a CBS anchor in a suit every time)
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To: Rome2000

"You need to show ID to vote in FL."

I didn't know that. You don't need to in CA.

But maybe if they asked for ID in CA, Bush could win CA too.


47 posted on 10/24/2004 11:17:52 AM PDT by FairOpinion (GET OUT THE VOTE. ENSURE A BUSH/CHENEY WIN.)
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To: blogblogginaway
Every Slap Counts
48 posted on 10/24/2004 11:24:11 AM PDT by Gazoo
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To: JulieRNR21; kinganamort; katherineisgreat; floriduh voter; summer; Goldwater Girl; windchime; ...
Florida Freeper

I'm compiling a list of FReepers in Florida for use in the upcoming elections.
If you want to be added, please FReepMail me.


49 posted on 10/24/2004 11:57:20 AM PDT by Joe Brower (The Constitution defines Conservatism.)
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To: FairOpinion
-- Cancel everyone's registration right now. -- Have everyone reregister.

Early voting started in FL last week would make your great idea impossible.

50 posted on 10/24/2004 12:07:55 PM PDT by BigWaveBetty (Can I get me a hunting license here?)
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To: Joe Brower

Bump!


51 posted on 10/24/2004 5:49:36 PM PDT by windchime (Podesta about Bush: "He's got four years to try to undo all the stuff we've done." (TIME-1/22/01))
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