Posted on 10/23/2004 2:17:04 PM PDT by Hermann the Cherusker
Thursday night Rasmussen's raw data saw Bush with 51.9% to Kerry's 44.2%...I expect more nights like these as the campaigns come to a close.
I'm glad you are posting these numbers. Tomorrow a bad day for Bush rolls off. I'd expect tomorrow to show Bush at 49 and Kerry at 47.
I've been on the road the last couple days. It looks like Rasmussen is keeping his predictable trends going.
Rasmussen has me a bit confused because I don't see how in the world Bush gets a 54% JA when 39% are Dems..It must mean 34 Reps say he's doing a good job and of the 27 Ind...he must be pulling in 19-20 of them...which should equate to votes...no?
You, as a serviceman, are free to respond or not respond as you will. My pings are not an insistence for reply.
I follow my hunches when I have them, especially when they are strong: If conservatives get out there and vote, Bush is going to win...340.
Rasmussen says Bush is pulling in 10%+ of Dims.
That equals 4-5 points.
Take away 2 points of Pubbies supporting sKerry. Result is around 17-18 of Indies.
Ach! Another pessimist. Bush by 360+ EV. Pubbies minimum of +5 in Senate. Delirous jubilation in the streets of Bush Country (the Appalachian foot hills to the crest of the Pacific Coast Range, minus Detroit, Chicago, Cleveland, Minneapolis, and St. Louis). "Deeply Saddened" faces longer than Kerry's in Frisco, Beantown, Tinseltown, Manhattan, and DC. Daschle looking for a new line of work. Rats in a suicidal panic and rage countrywide.
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