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Predicting a President: Slight Shift to Bush on Newspaper Sites' Electoral Maps
Editor and Publisher ^

Posted on 10/22/2004 10:49:38 PM PDT by cinnathepoet

NEW YORK For the second day in a row, the Los Angeles Times and USA Today were the only newspaper sites to shift their electoral-college numbers in E&P's exclusive tracking of seven major newspaper Web sites with electoral-college maps.

Sen. John Kerry lost votes on both sites. President Bush's vote count remained steady at USA Today and increased at the L.A. Times.

Bush now has an average of 199 votes to Kerry's average 188 across the seven sites. At least 270 electoral votes are needed for election.

The Los Angeles Times pushed Michigan's 17 electoral votes from Kerry to the swing-state category. Adding insult to injury, the Times projected that Bush would pick up Nevada's five votes, giving him a 173-153 lead over Kerry. Remaining up for grabs according to the paper's interactive map: 212 votes from 20 states.

USA Today also dealt a blow to the Massachusetts senator when it shifted Minnesota -- a state with 10 electoral votes -- from its "likely Kerry" to its "closely contested" category. Bush now boasts a 221-186 lead at that site, with 131 votes undecided.

In fact, Kerry leads Bush at only two newspaper sites now: The New York Times (225-213) and The Philadelphia Inquirer (168-166).

The other three sites held steady in favoring Bush: The Boston Globe (192-188), the South Florida Sun-Sentinel in Fort Lauderdale (222-217), and The Washington Post (208-179).


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: electoral; electoralvotes; newspapers; predict; shift
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Hopeful.
1 posted on 10/22/2004 10:49:38 PM PDT by cinnathepoet
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To: cinnathepoet

Any idea why the NYT would allow the Boston Globe to run
different numbers?


2 posted on 10/22/2004 10:53:22 PM PDT by Boundless (Was your voter registration sabotaged by ACORN? Don't find out Nov. 2. Vote early.)
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To: cinnathepoet

I don't understand how any of these polls mean anything. Calling 1000 people is not enough to gauge what will happen. The key is that everybody needs to get out there and vote.


3 posted on 10/22/2004 10:54:59 PM PDT by J Apple (i guess deceased are allowed to keep voting if they vote left)
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To: Boundless

Come on...sKerry ain't winning much of anything anymore.....most polls and papers all have Bush ahead........now if they would only WRITE the real story!


4 posted on 10/22/2004 10:55:38 PM PDT by Republic Rocker
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To: Republic Rocker

They usually try to close in with reality a few days before the election to save face.


5 posted on 10/22/2004 10:56:56 PM PDT by cinnathepoet (Directly, I am going to Caesar's funeral)
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To: Boundless
Any idea why the NYT would allow the Boston Globe to run different numbers?

Good question.

Obviously somebody at the "Times" is slipping.

6 posted on 10/22/2004 10:57:14 PM PDT by Graybeard58
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To: cinnathepoet; Howlin; Brad's Gramma; So Cal Rocket; NormsRevenge; Grampa Dave; SierraWasp; ...
And our supposedly conservative newspaper in SoCal - The Orange County Register has Kerry ahead 274 to Bushes 264.

_____________________________________________________


7 posted on 10/22/2004 10:58:27 PM PDT by Ernest_at_the_Beach (A Proud member of Free Republic ~~The New Face of the Fourth Estate since 1996.)
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To: J Apple

So you don't believe in Statistics?


8 posted on 10/22/2004 10:59:15 PM PDT by Ernest_at_the_Beach (A Proud member of Free Republic ~~The New Face of the Fourth Estate since 1996.)
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To: Mister Mellow

fyi


9 posted on 10/22/2004 11:00:30 PM PDT by Ernest_at_the_Beach (A Proud member of Free Republic ~~The New Face of the Fourth Estate since 1996.)
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To: Boundless
So the sheeple don't catch on that the Boston Globe is just an inbred sister of the NYT?
10 posted on 10/22/2004 11:00:53 PM PDT by Paleo Conservative (Hey! Hey! Ho! Ho! Dan Rather's got to go!)
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To: Howlin

This may make you feel better.


11 posted on 10/22/2004 11:08:36 PM PDT by hoosiermama (Pray without ceasing for our President and our nation.)
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

You'd think I would have noticed earlier....the OC Register has the map credited to RCP. Have you been over there to see if it's the same one???


12 posted on 10/22/2004 11:16:20 PM PDT by Brad’s Gramma
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/Presidential_04/RCP_Electoral_Count_Chart.html


13 posted on 10/22/2004 11:18:33 PM PDT by Brad’s Gramma
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To: Brad's Gramma

It is not!


The LA Times , for pete's sake, has Bush ahead of Kerry....


14 posted on 10/22/2004 11:20:17 PM PDT by Ernest_at_the_Beach (A Proud member of Free Republic ~~The New Face of the Fourth Estate since 1996.)
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

On the map...the lower left side of the map, it says RCP...that's what I meant.

And now, before I (probably!) step in it even more than I have.....I'm heading out for the night.

PRAY for this country...!!!


15 posted on 10/22/2004 11:26:27 PM PDT by Brad’s Gramma
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

This map is old. It needs updating fast.


16 posted on 10/22/2004 11:43:59 PM PDT by Iam1ru1-2
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To: All

Here are the stats for the undecided states:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/bush_vs_kerry_sbys.html


17 posted on 10/22/2004 11:47:31 PM PDT by Iam1ru1-2
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To: Iam1ru1-2

OOPS!!! this is the 2000 map. Sorry! I humbly apologize.


18 posted on 10/22/2004 11:50:12 PM PDT by Iam1ru1-2
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To: All

OOOOOOOOPSSSSS! wrong again. It is an up-to-date map but it is comparing it with the 2000 elections. Sorry AGAIN!!


19 posted on 10/22/2004 11:53:30 PM PDT by Iam1ru1-2
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To: Iam1ru1-2
It appeared in today's paper along with the AP poll which showed Kerry way ahead. Scared me half to death. Discussion over here:

TIME Poll: Bush Opens 5 Point Lead Against Kerry See link at post #28.

20 posted on 10/23/2004 12:09:06 AM PDT by Ernest_at_the_Beach (A Proud member of Free Republic ~~The New Face of the Fourth Estate since 1996.)
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