"Regarding Golitsyn's predictions coming true, keep in mind that a disinformation agent is going to say some things that are true--usually giveaway information which is already known--in order to make the rest of his story seem plausible."
Are you saying that Golitsyn, as a potential disinformation agent, could have been telling the truth (at least in part) about the upcoming phony collapse of the Soviet Union? How would accurate predictions of events that would not materialize until 10+ years later help to make the "rest of his story seem plausible?"
I realize you're preoccupied with other things, so if you want to pick this up after the election, that's fine with me--TTS.
"Are you saying that Golitsyn, as a potential disinformation agent, could have been telling the truth (at least in part) about the upcoming phony collapse of the Soviet Union?"
I'm more suggesting along the lines that someone familiar with Communist strategy can make long-term predictions about the unfolding of that strategy which will seem prophetic in retrospect, but this doesn't necessarily imply the person had specific knowledge of the details of how, where, and when that strategy would be implemented.
I will try to discuss this more adequately another time. It's a big subject to try to cover all at once! The whole issue with Golitsyn and the other defectors who came over at that time is quite complicated. I'm not sure even the FBI and CIA ever figured out exactly what the truth was there. There were other defectors saying some of the same stuff Golitsyn was on certain things but contradicting him on others.