That's my question. It isn't as though we have the benefit of a great deal of hinsight, so who really knows how they'll break. My hope is that people will go into the booth and vote for continuity in the WOT (even those who disagree with Bush's handling of it).
Zogby suggests the overwhelming majority of undecideds do not believe Bush deserves reelection, but I'm not sure that translates into a Kerry vote. Also, it's hard to cite Zogby on a thread questioning Zogby's accuracy...
According to I believe the most recent Fox poll, something like 64% of voters count this (transition during war) as a concern.
And yes, Zogby seems likely to be just a bit more biased than he admits to himself, from the way I would read these guys.