Of course it is only my opinion, but I belive that his openly biased comments in the press tip his hand pretty well. The rest is me filling in blanks and keeping paranoia levels appropriately high against an opponent that clearly lies at every turn and cheats etc.
NO "independent pollster" should be calling an election for John Kerry in May of this year, that is absurd and shows that he clearly has a "horse" in this race. So how can I feel that his "horserace" numbers are not skewed a little?
How is it biased to interpret the results and trends of your polls?