Here is my point about Mr. Zogby. Any dufus out there can claim the race is a "dead heat", i.e. within the margin of error, because it most likely is at this point. So I believe he is in a "holding pattern" until he is forced to show something one way or another. IF he is so sure that John Kerry is going to win this election and the underlying job approval numbers and people who want a new president show this, then why is Mr. Kerry not doing better than the 45-46 level in almost any poll that I have seen. A fair analysis of his own data, if he cared to do so, would involve him discussing in his editorial comments that it appears voters are not at all sold on Mr. Kerry for some reason (for which he could be polling on other questions if he wanted) etc.
But no, his editorial comments just say things like "boy this looks like 2000 all over again", "Kerry is incrementally chewing into the Bush lead" and "he shows a big advantage in new registrations" and on with the Democrat talking points.
Having said all of that, I will NEVER completely discount Zogby because I believe he is so biased and intimately familiar with the Democrat machine and the likely fraud that he may be showing a legitimate "fraud factor" in his results. He carped about "minority undersampling" in 2000, which I believe was the 2000 election cover for their fraud attempts. Now I tend to believe the "massive new voter registrations" are the cover this time.
Do you have some evidence or is this, as you alluded to, simply your opinion?