Dem constituents reportedly breaking for Bush in higher number than 2000-
Catholics
Jews
Women
Minorities
FDR/Kennedy/Reagan/Zell/and perhaps soon "Bush" Democrats.
9-11 Liberals
Youth
Groups that are reportedly trending more to Kerry than to Gore in 2000-
Muslims
Homosexuals
Republican constituencies reportedly increasing vote-
Christians
NRA
One issue Republicans
Dem constituencies reportedly increasing votes-
Dead
Felons
Homeless
Drug addicts
Fraud
Also, add the military vote as trending higher for Bush in 2004, than they did in 2000.
I'm not sure where senior citizens and indy's are falling yet.