Replies

Have you seen the polls showing Bush etting almost 20% of the black vote? I think it may be real, the question is where is it happeneing? Definitely in the south but I don't know about the midwest. What do you think sensei?

More food for thought. Registration means nothing unless you can turnout a warm body. I don't see these new dem registrants crawling across broken glass to vote for John Kerry. Perhaps this is a case where quality one ups quantity.

Brit Hume showed the Fox Poll today showed Bush with 18 percent of Black vote; he got 9 percent in 2000. Also I heard on ABC radio that BC is going to campaign for Kerry. This I figure is to get the Black vote back and energize them.

I saw it. I don't believe it. If it were true, the numbers would be different in the aggregate. Bush can't by carrying Catholics, 25% of the Jewish vote, 40% of the Hispanic vote, and rounding up most of the evangelicals, and still be near tied with Kerry, unless, well the Torie types, have become a much larger segment of the population, and have done so rapidly.

I almost hung up on my nephew and older brother last night. They think Bush is a fanatic, an imperalist, stupid, and the draft is coming soon, and the military is preparing for it, and that Karzi is an American puppet, and the elections there were phony, and that American blood is being spilled to try to install another puppet in Iraq, to please Israel. (My younger brother hates evangelicals, and wants to punish them any chance he gets, because he thinks they are dangerous, and even if not dangerous, punish them just the same, because he finds them offensively ignorant.)

Both my older brother and my nephew have arguably higher IQ's than I do, maybe close to near genius (145 or so I would guess), leaving me relatively speaking the dumbass Bushbot. Ain't that special?

GOP inroads are being made with minorities. This is why the race card is even harsher this election cycle than any other year. But, I don't think the race baiting will be as effective this time around. Minorities are living under a GOP White House and GOP Congress, plus with a majority of GOP Governors. The younger generation of minorities are beginning to see that Republicans aren't so bad. After all, not many black churches have burned down since GW Bush assumed the Presidency. Also, prior to running for President, Kerry did not attempt to build ties with minorities during his Senate tenure. In fact, his campaign staff is lily white. Minorities will not flock to the polls with great zeal like they did with Clinton and Gore. Minorities tend to see Kerry as a white elitist snob.

Regarding the broken glass thing, I heard on the radio that 75% of the electorate thinks this election will have a material effect on their lives, up from about 50% or less in previous elections. That portends a high turnout. Iraq is what is generating it I suspect, along with the stressing of lower middle class incomes and purchasing power after tax.