My personal opinions: Reasons to be hopeful: huge Christian votes for Bush because of his pro-life and pro-marriage stances, unprecendentedly large (20%? total) of black vote for Bush because of his pro-marrage views, large turnout and votes of gunowners for Bush since AWB not renewed and NRA endorses, surprisingly large number of Catholic votes for Bush because of Kerry's public abuse of the Faith and the Church, large turnout because it's a war.
Sounds like Rush is talking to the same operative this guy is...................
I thought about this the same way too, until I learned what a vastly disproportionate number of seniors...ARE VOTING RIGHT NOW BY ABSENTEE BALLOT.
Kerry vs Bush. Kerry doesn't stand a chance and here's why,
1) He's a Senator. Senators rarely get elected President.
2) He's a yankee. He has to win as a Democrat without a single Dixie state, Florida included. This is a monumental task.
3) He's a liberal in the extreme. His voting record is extremely liberal and will be used against him in the court of public opinion.
4) He has flipped flopped on almost every issue including the war.
5) Although he is a veteran, he is also a former anti-war protestor, hardly a popular thing when the country is fighting a just war.
6) The economy is booming. By November even the Buchananites will have jobs.
7) Bush has stolen all the RATs' issues.
8) Bush has implimented tax cuts, which Kerry was and is against.
9) There is no third party candidate siphoning votes away from Bush.
10) Bush has no primary challenger, so he has tons of money in the bank.
11) Foxnews, FreeRepublic and talk radio.
12) His very deiliberate use of profanity in the Rolling Stone interview.
13) He left his first wife to marry a rich heiress with a big mouth.
14) He has demonstrated that he is less than truthful (i.e Botox denials).
15) The Deniacs will not forgive him. Many will stay at home.
16) 9/11 changed things in ways pollsters and pundits have yet come to understand or account for.
Yes it is. The polls are generally trending towards Bush`s reelection. Two separate factors could give Bush a landslide vicotry.
If the 4-million Christian conservatives, who supposedly stayed home in 2000, decide to come out and vote for the obvious candidate of choice, the President will win in a landlside.
A poll taken by the Joint Center for Political and Economic Studies, shows 18% of the black Americans are supporting Bush. If the President gets that 18% of the black vote, he will win in a landslide.
Anybody hear Brit Hume say that the Fox poll numbers were more in line with private polls, than with other public polls.
I don't think he meant to say it (mention the "private" polls that aren't available to the public), but my guess is that internals of Dems and Republicans are showing similar numbers to the Fox poll.
You left out the medical profession and those involved in the insurance business.....Not to mention the vets and the families and friends of those currently serving in the military. Don't forget Zell's angels...who are sick of what their party has become ....and then there are the small business owners, the police and firefighters, the..........well you get the idea!......So why are the polls so close?
ping
Another hopeful sign:
Q: Where is Kerry campaigning?
A: In states he should have locked up weeks ago.
Seems like it's a sign of the same old Leftist/Dem crap, to me.
Don't know if you spoke to the same gentleman, but MY Senior operative told me that it is a foregone conclusion that Pres. Bush will win the election - but it will be a closer affair than we would want for comfort
You were dead wrong, troll.
This about all you need to know about where the election is going. Add to that an additional 5-10% of the black vote sitting at home (not at all enthused about Kerry) and Kerry simply cannot demographically win in close states.
Also remember that the last debate was less than a week ago - polls still haven't quite caught up.
Barring no major problems these last two weeks, I think you can count on that the largest evangelical and conservative Catholic turnout for a Republican in modern history.
"...unprecendentedly large (20%? total) of black vote for Bush because of his pro-marrage views.."
I think you are right on here. I have a good friend (black guy) who goes ballistic over the fact that the Dems farm blacks like plantation slaves. He thinks that telling a young black person that they "need" special handling by the do-gooders is the biggest impediment to their getting ahead. I think he is right.
If significant blacks go for Bush the side benefit is they will be looking for opportunities (personally and politically) rather than looking for proof they were "disenfranchised."
If a large number of minorities (I include hispanic Texans as well) give Bush/Republicans a chance they will be rewarded and we will too. Best deal is always one good for both parties!