You are an expert on American Jews? Reagan got 40% - Bush will do better than that. Better to worry about all those stay-at-home Christians who almost lost it for Bush in 2000.
They've forgotten Israel and Jerusalem. They are ASHAMED of Israel and Jersalem. If you want to say, "not all US Jews", well, fine. Just MOST of them, almost all of them. There are very few conservative Jews who care about the fate of Israel. Israel is an embarrassment to them--the fate of Israel attracts the attention of those icky evangelicals. They bring about the terror of the unfashionable "Zionist" label. Not our kind, dearie.
Sit down with some zip codes of prominent synagogues and do searches on fundrace.org and newsmeat.com. You're going to find donations to Kerry.
Heck, I was sure shocked when I did these searches around a Charleston, SC synagogue (the oldest Jewish community in the US, I believe, in one of the most conservative states in the US)...and found donations to Fritz Hollings...goes to show, if you're a Democrat, you can say any awful thing you want and do any awful thing you want and still get Jewish support. Hollings was the gov in 1961 when the Confed flag was placed on the state capitol.
But I'll be happy to feast on kosher crow if things turn out differently. One can always hope and pray against reasonable evidence.
You gettum girl!
40% may be tough. 30-35% is more reasonable, much better then the 19% in 2000. and every jewish republican voter from Florida is essential, NJ too.