I am truly baffled since Bush has always been way ahead of Kerry. However, the latest projection (Oct. 17) shows Kerry securing 318 EVs on election day and Bush just 220.
What is most suspicious is that the home page used to have a direct link to the Nov. 2 EV projection, which is updated daily. About a week ago I noticed the link disappeared. In order to see the new projections, I simply change the date to today's date in the URL, and the latest graph appears.
Has anyone else been following electoral-vote.com, as I have, and are just as perplexed?
If anything, the Bush numbers should be increasingly more favorable, not heading south.
Here's a quick comparison:
THIS SUNDAY (TODAY):
Electoral Vote Predictor 2004 (as of Oct. 17, this Sunday): Kerry 318 Bush 220
LAST SUNDAY:
Electoral Vote Predictor 2004 (as of Oct. 10, last Sunday) Kerry 203 Bush 316
Bush lost 100 EVs in their estimation, in just one week? That seems impossible.
The text below the Oct. 17 map reads, in part:
"The data are very noisy, so this map should not be taken too seriously." Then why have it?!
Any explanation, especially in light of very favorable numbers for Bush being released lately? I have no idea what's going on.
This is a liberal site that has been hacked with pro-Kerry results at least once to my knowledge. Pay no attention to electoral-vote.com.