I'm long GWB at an average of 63. Today's 3:00 p.m. quote, hot off the press is 54.4; up slightly from yesterday.
Florida is the one that really matters. I do a TS weighted average EV count for each state every day. The following, which is the Florida weighted average EV vote, is why I'm not worrying.
10/04 - 16.50
10/05 - 17.28
10/06 - 16.74
10/07 - 16.74
10/08 - 16.79
10/09 - 16.61
10/10 - 16.36
10/11 - 16.77
10/12 - 17.82
10/13 - 17.12
10/14 - 17.01
10/15 - 16.82
10/16 - 17.09
10/17 - 17.01
Florida is trading at 63 and strengthening, likewise Ohio, trading at 60. IA, of which I was nearly dispairing, has recovered well over the past two days, too. Looks like 291 EVs for GW to me.
Don't you think IEM is more timely and Tradesports will catch up in the next couple of days?