Methodology
This poll was conducted by telephone Oct. 13-16, 2004 among a random national sample of 2,401 adults, including 2,115 registered voters and 1,582 likely voters. The results have a 2.5-point error margin for the likely voter sample. ABC News and "The Washington Post" are sharing data collection for this tracking poll, then independently applying their own models to arrive at likely voter estimates. Sampling, data collection and tabulation by TNS of Horsham, Pa.
I am a little nervous about telephone polls...who answers their phone anymore?
That's a good question. That is why I think the only polls worth watching are polls that don't shift their polling methodology or voter demographics from poll to poll. And even those polls are only useful to examine trends. Rasmussen is one such poll, as it the Battleground Poll. Their actual numbers may not be accurate, but the trend they reveal can at least show which candidate is gaining or losing.
I answered my phone the other night and was delighted to tell the pollster that I'm totally for Bush, think he is doing an excellent job, and think that Kerry is an opportunistic liberal (bordering on communist) jerk!