Posted on 10/17/2004 7:10:33 AM PDT by tagawgrag
Edited on 10/17/2004 7:25:39 AM PDT by Admin Moderator. [history]
"After a dead heat last Wednesday through Friday, the race today stands at 50 percent support for Bush, 46 percent for Kerry and two percent for Ralph Nader among likely voters in interviews Wednesday through Saturday."
Well Here is the gist-
Oct. 17, 2004 -- While the race for the presidency is close, George W. Bush has expectations working for him: Most likely voters think that in the end he'll win a second term.
Even though the race has been a dead heat for much of the past week, 56 percent in the latest ABC News tracking poll think Bush will win, compared with 33 percent who think Kerry will. That's a bit closer than in early September, before the debates revived Kerry's campaign, but expectations remain on Bush's side.
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Sampling, data collection and tabulation for this poll were done by TNS.
After a dead heat last Wednesday through Friday, the race today stands at 50 percent support for Bush, 46 percent for Kerry and two percent for Ralph Nader among likely voters in interviews Wednesday through Saturday. The last two days were better for Bush, who's taken to the road since Wednesday's debate with sharpened criticism of Kerry's domestic policies.
Women account for some of the slight movement in the race. Men still support Bush by double digits (13 points in this poll), while women are now supporting Kerry by a narrower 51-46 percent. Bush also is back to poaching slightly more Democrats (13 percent support him) than Kerry wins Republicans (seven percent). Still, independents, key swing voters, divide closely, 48 percent for Kerry, 45 percent for Bush.
One of Bush's lines of attack has been to portray Kerry as a liberal — an effective criticism if it sticks, given the ideological makeup of likely voters. About two in 10 call themselves liberals; substantially more, 34 percent in this poll, are conservatives. That gives Bush a bigger base, while Kerry has to appeal beyond his base to more of the middle — a sometimes tricky political straddle.
Nader
With more than 7,500 interviews of registered voters during the last 16 days, the ABC News tracking poll has accumulated enough of Nader's supporters to begin to analyze this small subgroup. Independents predominate: Fifty-nine percent of them are independents, 21 percent Democrats and 10 percent Republicans.
This means that he is probably up 5 in the washington Post tracking due out today
Try this.
Fifty percent.....big mo on our side. boyah.
We need to work hard for that extra 1-2%. There is enough fraud in place to overcome a 4 point lead.
Bush up 4, excellent. Meanwhile Chrissie Mathews is bloviating about the Kerry mo.
The MSM is so yesterday.
Thanks much!!
The poll didn't say what the margin of error was but Bush has started to poll slightly above the margin in some polls.
Yes ! This and the Chicago Tribune endorsement makes me feel happy this morning.
I also volunteered for the Bush/Cheney campaign yesterday in South Philly. Along with 30 other people from NYC, I went door to door, talking to Republican voters in that area. They are very gung-ho on Bush. Pennsylvania and New Jersey needs people to volunteer ! I highly recommend it - it is really fun to talk to Bush supporters out in a different area of the world.
What a great find by you. And some good news within that poll for the President. I'm not sure how ABC/WP does their polling, I like the trend.
Good news but doesn't mean a thing if Bush voters coast this last 2 weeks and let Kerry get back in it. Still have to get every Bush voter possible to off set the massive Vote Fraud and Legal challenges the Democrats have planned.
Democrats are conducting a continuing war against America!
Go Bush!
It is too close we need a wider margin. These creeps will sue in every State of the Union.
Hand pick each town to have a recount in, and hold up the election process. This is the kind of Democrat party that Mr. Carter has formed.
\He will destroy free elections.
"Kerry wins Republicans (seven percent)"
That would be from the isolationist, pro-abortion, legalize-drugs wing of the party.
Bears repeating.
I also volunteered for the Bush/Cheney campaign yesterday in South Philly. Along with 30 other people from NYC, I went door to door, talking to Republican voters in that area. They are very gung-ho on Bush. Pennsylvania and New Jersey needs people to volunteer ! I highly recommend it - it is really fun to talk to Bush supporters out in a different area of the world.
YOU RULE! WAY to go. Come on BIG PA bring it home for Bush. If PA swings Bush it is all over but the lawsuits!
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