To: Owen
All can answer this second question. And it would be a valid explanation for why partisan mix varies so widely in these polls. People change their attitudes more readily than they can go down to the county courthouse and change their registration.
AGAIN. You are missing the point. The POINT is POLL RESULTS vary based on HOW THE POLLSTER WEIGHTS THE POLLS. If the poll has MORE SELF IDENTIFIED Democrats and STILL favors BUSH that indicates VERY SERIOUS trouble for the Kerry Campaign. If a state has partisan registration or NOT is totally and WHOLLY irrelevant to THAT point. As I pointed out, WHEN the story was "Bush leads race" they counted MORE SELF IDENTIFIED Republicans then Democrats and Bush had a double digit lead. After the 1st Debate, THEY OVER SAMPLED DEMOCRATS to show "Kerry surging in POLLS". Whether or not they are officially registered WITH a party is COMPLETELY irrelevant! A SIGNIFICANT portion of each candidates vote will be based SOLELY on people who vote for WHOMEVER their Party nominates. If Newsweek and Time OVER Sampled DEMOCRAT LEANING voters and STILL show Kerry behind, that is REALLY bad news for Kerry.
45 posted on
10/16/2004 1:02:02 PM PDT by
MNJohnnie
(Vote Bush 2004-We cannot survive a 9-10 President in a 9-11 World)
To: MNJohnnie
47 posted on
10/16/2004 1:17:39 PM PDT by
handy
(Forgive me this day, my daily typos...The Truth is not a Smear!)
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