From the figures I have seen, from pollingreport et al, the last Zogby poll in 2000 showed Gore 48% Bush 46% Nader 5%.
Having Bush under 2% is really no better than Bush up 2% when the actual difference between them on election day was only a few hundred thousand out of more than 100 million.
Well, ultimately my point is this:
Either believe every poll or none of the polls.
Like in 2000, every poll around here that shows Bush down is bashed, and the ones that show Bush up are praised.