I thought that NH was Boston-North, which explains why people think that the former Taxachusetts natives will be voting for their favorite son. Everything I see says that NH will be Kerry's. Do you have information to the contrary?
The Boston people moving to New Hampshire are conservatives who live in the conservative part of the state (Nashua-Portsmouth-Manchester) so they can commute to Rt. 128 jobs. The liberal part of New Hampshire is the native area along the Connecticut River valley in the west and north.
Most Ex-Taxachusessites there don't like Kerry.
Bush will win. The state is heavily Republcian overall.