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Carbon dioxide concentration in atmosphere jumps higher; trend or anomaly?
Space Daily ^ | 10/11/2004 | AFP

Posted on 10/12/2004 10:01:38 AM PDT by cogitator

Scientist finds huge jump in gas that causes global warming: report

Climate experts cautioned Monday that a reported consecutive annual jump in the quantity of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere might be an anomaly, without ruling out it was a sign of rapid global warming.

For the first time carbon dioxide levels in the atmosphere rose by more than two parts per million for two years running, from 2000 to 2001, according to figures recorded by a US scientist and published in the British press.

Climate experts said that the figures may be an anomaly but that they raised the alarm that climate change may be happening faster than previously believed and that governments around the world should take notice.

Global warming leads to melting of the ice caps, higher sea levels and erratic weather. (not necessarily!)

The figures recorded by US scientist Charles Keeling would be discussed Tuesday at the Greenpeace conference attended by Prime Minister Tony Blair's scientific adviser, David King, the Guardian newspaper said.

Between 2001 and 2002 the number of parts per million of carbon dioxide rose from 371.02 to 373.10, an increase of 2.08 over the year, according to figures published in the Guardian and the Independent. Then it rose again in 2003 to 375.64, an annual increase of 2.54.

The data was recorded at the summit of Mauna Loa mountain in Hawaii by Keeling, who has been collecting it since 1958.

Keeling said that up to then rises of over two parts per million had been recorded in only four years -- 1973, 1988, 1994 and 1998 -- and each time it was a year marked by the climatic phenomenon known as El Nino.

"The rise in the annual rate to above two parts per million for two consecutive years is a real phenomenon," Keeling was quoted as saying.

The most disturbing thing for the 74-year-old scientist was that neither of those two years had been marked by El Nino and there was no data to explain the increase.

El Nino is the climate phenomenon that can catastrophically disrupt weather patterns across the Pacific and beyond.

Keeling said one explanation for the rise "could be a weakening of the earth's carbon 'sinks' (oceans and forests), associated with the world warming, as part of a climate change feedback mechanism."

Meanwhile, Friends of the Earth Scotland's chief executive, Duncan McLaren, said it was "worrying" to see such increases over two years.

"The world can only hope that these figures are an anomaly and not a real trend.

"However, instead of just keeping fingers crossed these findings should send an urgent reminder to governments everywhere of the urgent need to tackle the growing threat of climate change," McLaren said.

Other experts also warned against jumping to conclusions.

King, the main government expert, told BBC News that the two parts per million rise two years running is "likely to be an anomaly, which would not be unprecedented, and not the start of a trend, unless it is proved otherwise". (gee, that makes sense)

Peter Cox, who heads the carbon cycle group at Britain's Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research, also told the BBC it was possible to read too much into the figures.

He said that the increase in carbon dioxide was not uniform across the globe and suspected something unusual had happened in the Northern Hemisphere.

He suggested Europe's very hot summer last year and a larger than usual number of forest fires could have killed off vegetation and increased carbon releases from the soil.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Extended News; Government; Miscellaneous; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: change; climate; climatechange; co2; gas; global; greenhouse; keeling; maunaloa; warming
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Last year was a weird year: I vote for anomaly, but it bears watching.
1 posted on 10/12/2004 10:01:39 AM PDT by cogitator
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To: cogitator

Given that you have had a lot of Democrats outside at political rallys talking I would say that would explain the increase.


2 posted on 10/12/2004 10:04:16 AM PDT by DSBull (Leather Belts, with Liberal logic everywhere they are keeping my head from exploding)
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To: cogitator

That's it. I call on all governments worldwide to put a giant plug every volcano.


3 posted on 10/12/2004 10:05:55 AM PDT by BenLurkin (We have low inflation and and low unemployment.)
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To: BenLurkin

We can do "our share " here by plugging Mt St Helens. LOL


4 posted on 10/12/2004 10:07:39 AM PDT by tertiary01 (Kerry in the WhiteHouse means Arafat in the Lincoln Bedroom)
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To: cogitator

Anomaly. It's all that heavy man-breathing caused by the sexy Hardees commercial.


5 posted on 10/12/2004 10:08:17 AM PDT by macamadamia
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To: cogitator
Did you know that 60 million years ago the sea level was some 80 feet higher than now. Whose to say it won't happen again.

Then 20,000 years ago NYC was 10,000 feet under ice.

To think that everything that now is -- is the way it's always been is foolish at best, stupid at the extreme.
6 posted on 10/12/2004 10:08:35 AM PDT by Tarpon
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To: cogitator

If Mt. St. Helens does more than belch that will increase atmospheric greenhouse gases even more than my old SUV. Of course the CO2 build up is caused exclusively by Republican policies, not ratifying the Kyoto Treaty and SUV's. </sarcasm


7 posted on 10/12/2004 10:09:30 AM PDT by The Great RJ
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To: cogitator

No probs.

We can all go back to the neolithic age, live in caves and eat grass.


8 posted on 10/12/2004 10:09:46 AM PDT by crazycat
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To: cogitator

"they raised the alarm that climate change may be happening faster than previously believed "

Raise the alarm? Can't they just start making more dry ice and soda?


9 posted on 10/12/2004 10:10:41 AM PDT by nuconvert (Everyone has a photographic memory. Some don't have film.)
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To: cogitator

Well that's because John Kerry has been talking all year.


10 posted on 10/12/2004 10:11:02 AM PDT by RockinRight (John Kerry is the wrong candidate, for the wrong country, at the wrong time)
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To: cogitator

Cut down the old growth forests and replace them with carbon dioxide hungry new forests.


11 posted on 10/12/2004 10:11:53 AM PDT by Jim_Curtis (Liberals lie at the premise, accept their premise and you can only lose the argument.)
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To: DSBull

Oh, good grief!!

Any scientist worth his/her salt knows that studies must be conducted over long periods of time to determine whether a result reached on a given day and time is a trend or an anomaly.

Check back in 2 - 3 years and we'll all have the answer.

Climatology isn't a political poll. Miniscule changes from one day to the next are insignificant in climatology.


12 posted on 10/12/2004 10:16:13 AM PDT by DustyMoment (Repeal CFR NOW!!)
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To: BenLurkin
That's it. I call on all governments worldwide to put a giant plug every volcano.

Nice idea, but not very effective; volcanoes don't produce a lot of CO2 (they produce a lot of SO2, though).

13 posted on 10/12/2004 10:16:21 AM PDT by cogitator
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To: nuconvert
Can't they just start making more dry ice and soda?

If you follow tha process by then burying it on the sea floor, it's been proposed (carbon sequestration).

14 posted on 10/12/2004 10:17:47 AM PDT by cogitator
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To: cogitator

I was kidding.........


15 posted on 10/12/2004 10:21:01 AM PDT by nuconvert (Everyone has a photographic memory. Some don't have film.)
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To: cogitator
"The data was recorded at the summit of Mauna Loa mountain in Hawaii by Keeling, who has been collecting it since 1958."

So let me get this straight. He takes his CO2 measurements from the summit of a volcano?

16 posted on 10/12/2004 10:22:10 AM PDT by Oblongata
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To: cogitator

Its the height of election season here in the US.. of course there is more hot air being expelled by pompous windbags... the fact CO2 is increased is not suprising.


17 posted on 10/12/2004 10:22:54 AM PDT by HamiltonJay ("You cannot strengthen the weak by weakening the strong.")
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To: Oblongata
He takes his CO2 measurements from the summit of a volcano?

Extinct volcano -- and let me repeat myself, volcanoes do not emit a lot of CO2! (Especially the Hawaiian-type.)

18 posted on 10/12/2004 10:28:53 AM PDT by cogitator
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To: DustyMoment

Obviously, sarcasm is lost on some??????????


19 posted on 10/12/2004 10:34:38 AM PDT by DSBull (Leather Belts, with Liberal logic everywhere they are keeping my head from exploding)
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To: cogitator

It's due to all the bloviating from the Kerry/Edwards campaign.


20 posted on 10/12/2004 10:35:07 AM PDT by sweetliberty (Proud member of the Pajama Posse!)
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